Within parent city
64
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #12,481 of 84,120 nationally
Salem Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 41047002502 · Marion County, OR · pop 5,713 · 21% of tract blocks fall in Salem
With a score of 7.1/10, tract 41047002502 in Salem, OR reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Against Marion County at 48.4%, 26% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
7.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,958
Renter share28.4%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate18.6%
Median income$74,875
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
81
th percentile
High
Within state
74
th percentile
Elevated
National
85
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Salem and the region
Centroid at 45.0618, -122.9738 · click any tract to drill in
Why Salem scores 7.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Salem
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
18.6% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,393 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Salem
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Salem
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Salem
7.0
How Salem compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 62%Socioeconomic
- 77%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 173Total filings over 16 yrs
- 1.80%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.2%Peak (2009)
- 14Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 250% over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Salem
What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10. The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. It sits 1.1 points above the Marion County average of 6.0.
Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.2/10. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Court records carry 173 eviction filings across 16 observed years. On the high side, local political climate reads 7/10. Filings peaked in 2009 at 2.2% of renter households.
In a typical year about 1.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #12,481 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 41047002502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41047002502?
Census tract 41047002502 in Salem scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41047002502?
Median gross rent is $1,393/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41047002502?
18.6% of residents in tract 41047002502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,713.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41047002502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 77th, minority 58th, housing 77th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41047002502?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 173 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41047002502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.80% of renter households, peaking at 2.2% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 41047002502 compare to Salem overall?
Tract 41047002502 scores 7.1/10, higher than the parent city of Salem at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Salem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Salem
Top eight tracts in Salem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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