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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally

Waverly Heights Eviction Risk: High , Portland

Tract 41051000101 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 3,187 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 41051000101 covers part of the Waverly Heights area of Portland, OR, and scores 8.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,187 residents. 39% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 28% Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units1,624
Renter share55.9%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate15.6%
Median income$85,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Waverly Heights
Very High
Within parent city
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#54 of 168 tracts In Portland
Elevated
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#51 of 197 tracts In Multnomah County
Elevated
Within state
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#73 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Portland and the region

Centroid at 45.4611, -122.6560 · click any tract to drill in

Why Waverly Heights scores 8.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
15.6% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,777 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5

How Waverly Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Waverly Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.1This tracttract 0001017.7Portlandparent city7.4Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 64

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 77Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.51×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Waverly Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Waverly Heights

The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10.

It sits 0.7 points above the Multnomah County average of 7.4. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Portland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #7,382 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 2.0 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 49% of renters. Average gross rent is $1,777, close to the Portland average.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $85,500. 56% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 41051000101

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051000101?

Census tract 41051000101 in the Waverly Heights neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41051000101?

Median gross rent is $1,777/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41051000101?

15.6% of residents in tract 41051000101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,187.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41051000101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 27th, minority 25th, housing 96th.
Q5

Is tract 41051000101 considered part of Waverly Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051000101 fall within Waverly Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 41051000101 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.51× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 41051000101 compare to Portland overall?

Tract 41051000101 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Portland at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 41051000101 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Portland

Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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