Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally
Waverly Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , Portland
Tract 41051000201 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 3,824 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Census tract 41051000201 covers part of the Waverly Heights area of Portland, OR, and scores 7.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,824. The severe-burden share is 39%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
7.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units1,637
Renter share49.1%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate13.6%
Median income$84,766
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Portland and the region
Centroid at 45.4675, -122.6426 · click any tract to drill in
Why Waverly Heights scores 7.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
13.6% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,541 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5
How Waverly Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 35%Socioeconomic
- 57%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 27%Grade B
- 53%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 111Total filings 2020-21
- 1.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.58×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Waverly Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Waverly Heights
What pushes it up most is local political climate at 9/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10.
On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Portland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
That is riskier than roughly 90% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 5.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.
52% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Multnomah County average of 7.4 closely.
Average gross rent is $1,541, close to the Portland average. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $84,766.
49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051000201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051000201?
Census tract 41051000201 in the Waverly Heights neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41051000201?
Median gross rent is $1,541/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051000201?
13.6% of residents in tract 41051000201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,824.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051000201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 57th, minority 39th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 41051000201 considered part of Waverly Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051000201 fall within Waverly Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 41051000201 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.58× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 41051000201 compare to Portland overall?
Tract 41051000201 scores 7.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Portland at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 41051000201 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Portland
Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Pleasant Valley
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Russellville
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Arleta
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Portsmouth
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Jade District
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
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