Eviction Risk in Waverly Heights , Portland
Tract 41051000201 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 3,824 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Census tract 41051000201 sits in the Waverly Heights neighborhood of Portland, Oregon. It has a population of 3,824 and an eviction-risk score of 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). 52% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 39% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,541/month against a median household income of $84,766 — roughly 22% rent-to-income at the medians.
Racial & ethnic composition
White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood — 3,934 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).
- Hispanic / Latino 11.5%
- White (non-Hispanic) 79%
- Black (non-Hispanic) 0.6%
- Asian (non-Hispanic) 5.2%
- Other / Multiracial 3.8%
How the 7.1/10 score is composed
| Signal | Score | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Filing rate (county) | 5.5 | Eviction Lab via counties |
| State political climate | 7.2 | states.state_political_baseline |
| Regional political climate | 8.1 | 2024 county presidential margin |
| Local political climate | 9.0 | Portland (inherited) |
| Rent control risk | 8.5 | Portland (inherited) |
| Eviction process difficulty | 8.5 | state law |
| Tenant organizing strength | 9.0 | Portland (inherited) |
| Housing court bias | 8.5 | Portland (inherited) |
| Economic stress (tract) | 3.4 | this tract poverty rate |
| Supply constraint (tract) | 2.7 | tract rent vs county FMR |
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 35%Socioeconomic
- 57%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 111Total filings 2020-21
- 1.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.58×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Waverly Heights. Closest by composite score.
Dominant grade: C — definitely declining
Approximately 80% of this tract's area was graded by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Portland. Source: Mapping Inequality (Nelson, Winling, Marciano, Connolly et al., University of Richmond) — CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
- 0.0%A (Best)
- 26.8%B (Desirable)
- 53.1%C (Declining)
- 0.0%D (Redlined)
Redlining is correlated with present-day eviction-filing rates, lower home-ownership, and greater rent burden — see Aaronson, Hartley & Mazumder (FRB Chicago, 2021). The shading above reflects 90-year-old appraisals; it is historical context, not a current credit signal.
About tract 41051000201
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051000201?
Census tract 41051000201 in the Waverly Heights neighborhood scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.
What is the median rent in tract 41051000201?
Median gross rent is $1,541/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051000201?
13.6% of residents in tract 41051000201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,824.
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051000201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 57th, minority 39th, housing 65th.
Is tract 41051000201 considered part of Waverly Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051000201 fall within Waverly Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Did eviction filings in tract 41051000201 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.58× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Was tract 41051000201 redlined?
The dominant 1930s HOLC grade across this tract is C (Definitely Declining). Roughly 0% of the tract's area sits inside historically redlined (grade-D) zones drawn by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Portland. Source: Mapping Inequality, University of Richmond.