Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally
Terwilliger Eviction Risk: Moderate , Portland
Tract 41051000102 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 3,746 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Eviction risk in the Terwilliger neighborhood of Portland centers on tract 41051000102, which scores $1/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 3,746 residents. It lands near the 94th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
57% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,789 a month against an average household income of $88,083 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,806
Renter share42.2%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate7.1%
Median income$88,083
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
41
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
61
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Portland and the region
Centroid at 45.4794, -122.6586 · click any tract to drill in
Why Terwilliger scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
7.1% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,789 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5
How Terwilliger compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 11
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 14%Socioeconomic
- 8%Household composition
- 24%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 4%Grade B
- 20%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 97Total filings 2020-21
- 1.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 3.13×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Terwilliger. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Terwilliger
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Portland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Multnomah County average of 6.9 and above the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 3.13x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051000102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051000102?
Census tract 41051000102 in the Terwilliger neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41051000102?
Median gross rent is $1,789/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051000102?
7.1% of residents in tract 41051000102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,746.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051000102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 8th, minority 24th, housing 32th.
Q5
Is tract 41051000102 considered part of Terwilliger?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051000102 fall within Terwilliger (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 41051000102 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 3.13× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 41051000102 compare to Portland overall?
Tract 41051000102 scores 5.1/10, lower than the parent city of Portland at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 41051000102 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Portland
Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Gateway
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
University District
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
University District
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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