Within neighborhood
44
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally
Roseway Eviction Risk: Moderate , Portland
Tract 41051002902 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 6,370 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Here is how census tract 41051002902, in the Roseway area of Portland eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 6.6/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 6,370. That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 41% of renter households, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,485 monthly, set against $101,845 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units2,823
Renter share32.0%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate7.3%
Median income$101,845
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
34
th percentile
Low
Within county
37
th percentile
Low
Within state
55
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Portland and the region
Centroid at 45.5406, -122.5841 · click any tract to drill in
Why Roseway scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
7.3% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,485 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5
How Roseway compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 51
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 33%Socioeconomic
- 54%Household composition
- 36%Racial/ethnic minority
- 74%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 3%Grade A
- 40%Grade B
- 13%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 630Total filings over 16 yrs
- 4.45%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.8%Peak (2003)
- 20Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 17% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 333Total filings 2020-21
- 4.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.12×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Roseway. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Roseway
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Portland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Multnomah County average of 6.9 and above the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.12x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051002902
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051002902?
Census tract 41051002902 in the Roseway neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41051002902?
Median gross rent is $1,485/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051002902?
7.3% of residents in tract 41051002902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,370.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051002902?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 54th, minority 36th, housing 74th.
Q5
Is tract 41051002902 considered part of Roseway?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051002902 fall within Roseway (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051002902?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 630 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41051002902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.45% of renter households, peaking at 5.8% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41051002902 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.12× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41051002902 compare to Portland overall?
Tract 41051002902 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Portland at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 41051002902 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Portland
Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Gateway
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
University District
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
University District
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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