Within neighborhood
22
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,571 of 84,120 nationally
Roseway Eviction Risk: Elevated , Portland
Tract 41051002802 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 3,176 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
With a score of 6.3/10, tract 41051002802 in the Roseway area of Portland, OR reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,176 residents. 34% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Multnomah County average of 49.7%.
Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,174
Renter share24.4%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate4.7%
Median income$119,167
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
3
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
12
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
56
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Portland and the region
Centroid at 45.5338, -122.6053 · click any tract to drill in
Why Roseway scores 6.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
4.7% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,683 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5
How Roseway compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 28
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 22%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 32%Racial/ethnic minority
- 37%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 15%Grade A
- 58%Grade B
- 8%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 137Total filings over 16 yrs
- 2.20%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.0%Peak (2000)
- 5Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 69% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 97Total filings 2020-21
- 1.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.80×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Roseway. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Roseway
The dominant input is local political climate at 9/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.2/10. It sits 1.1 points below the Multnomah County average of 7.4. The filing record is not thin: 137 evictions over 16 years of observation.
Adults with no health insurance runs 4.3% against 11.3% nationally. Filings peaked in 2000 at 4.0% of renter households.
This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Portland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 2.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 80th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 24% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051002802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051002802?
Census tract 41051002802 in the Roseway neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41051002802?
Median gross rent is $1,683/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051002802?
4.7% of residents in tract 41051002802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,176.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051002802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 46th, minority 32th, housing 37th.
Q5
Is tract 41051002802 considered part of Roseway?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051002802 fall within Roseway (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051002802?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 137 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41051002802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.20% of renter households, peaking at 4.0% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41051002802 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.80× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41051002802 compare to Portland overall?
Tract 41051002802 scores 6.3/10, lower than the parent city of Portland at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 41051002802 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Portland
Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Arleta
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Glenfair
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
University District
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Riverview
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Whitwood Court
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Roseway
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
University District
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
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