Within neighborhood
40
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,043 of 84,120 nationally
Gateway Eviction Risk: Elevated , Portland
Tract 41051002903 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 4,489 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
With a score of 7.8/10, tract 41051002903 in the Gateway area of Portland, OR reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,489. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10.
Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,847
Renter share45.0%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate12.8%
Median income$86,507
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Portland and the region
Centroid at 45.5430, -122.5707 · click any tract to drill in
Why Gateway scores 7.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
12.8% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,522 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5
How Gateway compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 71%Socioeconomic
- 74%Household composition
- 35%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 43%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 573Total filings over 16 yrs
- 6.55%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.9%Peak (2012)
- 25Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 32% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 232Total filings 2020-21
- 3.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.40×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Gateway. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Gateway
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 573 evictions over 16 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2012, when 6.9% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Portland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
At $1,522 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of Portland commands. In a typical year about 6.5% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 89th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 8.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051002903
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051002903?
Census tract 41051002903 in the Gateway neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41051002903?
Median gross rent is $1,522/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051002903?
12.8% of residents in tract 41051002903 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,489.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051002903?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 74th, minority 35th, housing 86th.
Q5
Is tract 41051002903 considered part of Gateway?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051002903 fall within Gateway (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051002903?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 573 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41051002903 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.55% of renter households, peaking at 6.9% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41051002903 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.40× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41051002903 compare to Portland overall?
Tract 41051002903 scores 7.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Portland at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 41051002903 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Portland
Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Portsmouth
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Jade District
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Arleta
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Glenfair
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
University District
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Riverview
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
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