Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally
Oak Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Portland
Tract 41051006404 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 3,367 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
In Oak Creek in Portland, census tract 41051006404 scores 6.7/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 90th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 40% of renter households, a high level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,972 a month while the average household earns $99,738 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 26% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,665
Renter share25.9%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate5.7%
Median income$99,738
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
29
th percentile
Low
Within county
32
th percentile
Low
Within state
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Portland and the region
Centroid at 45.4381, -122.7291 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oak Creek scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
5.7% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,972 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5
How Oak Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 35
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 30%Socioeconomic
- 50%Household composition
- 37%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 218Total filings over 16 yrs
- 2.47%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.4%Peak (2000)
- 5Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 78% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 64Total filings 2020-21
- 0.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.68×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Oak Creek
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Portland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Multnomah County average of 6.9 and above the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 218 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 2.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.4% of renter households in 2000.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 35th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051006404
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051006404?
Census tract 41051006404 in the Oak Creek neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41051006404?
Median gross rent is $1,972/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051006404?
5.7% of residents in tract 41051006404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,367.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051006404?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 50th, minority 37th, housing 38th.
Q5
Is tract 41051006404 considered part of Oak Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051006404 fall within Oak Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051006404?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 218 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41051006404 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.47% of renter households, peaking at 4.4% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41051006404 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.68× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41051006404 compare to Portland overall?
Tract 41051006404 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Portland at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Portland
Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Gateway
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
University District
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
University District
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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