Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally
Oak Creek Eviction Risk: Elevated , Portland
Tract 41051006404 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 3,367 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Tract 41051006404 sits in the Oak Creek area of Portland eviction risk, OR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.7/10. Population here is 3,367. The dominant input is local political climate at 9/10.
Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,665
Renter share25.9%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate5.7%
Median income$99,738
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
26
th percentile
Low
Within county
31
th percentile
Low
Within state
64
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Portland and the region
Centroid at 45.4381, -122.7291 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oak Creek scores 6.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
5.7% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,972 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5
How Oak Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 35
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 30%Socioeconomic
- 50%Household composition
- 37%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 218Total filings over 16 yrs
- 2.47%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.4%Peak (2000)
- 5Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 78% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 64Total filings 2020-21
- 0.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.68×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Oak Creek
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. Against Multnomah County at 49.7%, 40% of renters here are cost-burdened. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.4/10.
Severe burden reaches 19%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Average gross rent is $1,972, 19% above the Portland average.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 218 filings here across 16 tracked years. Against the Multnomah County average of 7.4, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.
The worst year on record was 2000, when 4.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.5% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #14,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.1/10.
Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $99,738. 26% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051006404
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051006404?
Census tract 41051006404 in the Oak Creek neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41051006404?
Median gross rent is $1,972/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051006404?
5.7% of residents in tract 41051006404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,367.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051006404?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 50th, minority 37th, housing 38th.
Q5
Is tract 41051006404 considered part of Oak Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051006404 fall within Oak Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051006404?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 218 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41051006404 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.47% of renter households, peaking at 4.4% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41051006404 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.68× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41051006404 compare to Portland overall?
Tract 41051006404 scores 6.7/10, lower than the parent city of Portland at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Portland
Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Nob Hill
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Pleasant Valley
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Russellville
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Jade District
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
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