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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,797 of 84,120 nationally

Powellhurst Eviction Risk: High , Portland

Tract 41051009204 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 4,246 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 41051009204 covers part of the Powellhurst area of Portland, OR, and scores 9.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,246. The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
9.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 23% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units1,696
Renter share51.9%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate26.7%
Median income$69,355

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 8 tracts In Powellhurst
Elevated
Within parent city
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 168 tracts In Portland
Very High
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 197 tracts In Multnomah County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Portland and the region

Centroid at 45.5131, -122.5339 · click any tract to drill in

Why Powellhurst scores 9.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
26.7% poverty · this tract
6.7
Supply constraint
$1,237 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5

How Powellhurst compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Powellhurst risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.1This tracttract 0092047.7Portlandparent city7.4Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 714Total filings 2020-21
  • 9.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 8.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.07×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Powellhurst. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Powellhurst

The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.2/10. Against the Multnomah County average of 7.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points.

At $1,237 a month, rents run 25% under what the rest of Portland commands. The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

56% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Multnomah County average of 49.7%. Nationally it ranks #3,797 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.8/10.

Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 3.0 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $69,355.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 41051009204

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051009204?

Census tract 41051009204 in the Powellhurst neighborhood scores 9.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41051009204?

Median gross rent is $1,237/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41051009204?

26.7% of residents in tract 41051009204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,246.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41051009204?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 55th, minority 70th, housing 94th.
Q5

Is tract 41051009204 considered part of Powellhurst?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051009204 fall within Powellhurst (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 41051009204 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.07× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 41051009204 compare to Portland overall?

Tract 41051009204 scores 9.1/10, higher than the parent city of Portland at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Portland

Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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