Within neighborhood
43
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #4,119 of 84,120 nationally
Powellhurst Eviction Risk: High , Portland
Tract 41051008302 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 5,231 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Census tract 41051008302 covers part of the Powellhurst area of Portland, OR, and scores 9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,231. Severe burden reaches 45%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,602
Renter share42.4%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate20.3%
Median income$72,619
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Portland and the region
Centroid at 45.4970, -122.5568 · click any tract to drill in
Why Powellhurst scores 9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
20.3% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$1,469 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5
How Powellhurst compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 74%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 7%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 703Total filings over 16 yrs
- 7.93%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.8%Peak (2004)
- 51Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 42% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 259Total filings 2020-21
- 3.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.32×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Powellhurst. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Powellhurst
The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10. Cost burden runs 62% here against 49.7% across Multnomah County.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. It sits 1.6 points above the Multnomah County average of 7.4.
The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Court records carry 703 eviction filings across 16 observed years.
Average gross rent is $1,469, 11% below the Portland average. Filings peaked in 2004 at 10.8% of renter households.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Portland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 7.9% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #4,119 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 9.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 2.9 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051008302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051008302?
Census tract 41051008302 in the Powellhurst neighborhood scores 9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41051008302?
Median gross rent is $1,469/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051008302?
20.3% of residents in tract 41051008302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,231.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051008302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 95th, minority 63th, housing 99th.
Q5
Is tract 41051008302 considered part of Powellhurst?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051008302 fall within Powellhurst (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051008302?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 703 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41051008302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.93% of renter households, peaking at 10.8% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41051008302 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.32× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41051008302 compare to Portland overall?
Tract 41051008302 scores 9/10, higher than the parent city of Portland at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 41051008302 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Portland
Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Riverview
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Whitwood Court
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Wilkes
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Roseway
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
University District
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
University District
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
University District
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Ladd's Addition
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
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