Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #3,157 of 84,120 nationally
Powellhurst Eviction Risk: Elevated , Portland
Tract 41051009202 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 5,885 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Here is how census tract 41051009202, in Powellhurst in Portland eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 7.5/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 5,885. That is riskier than roughly 98% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
76% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 60% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,463 a month against an average household income of $39,440 a year, roughly 45% of income at the averages. About 57% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units2,255
Renter share57.1%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate25.5%
Median income$39,440
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
98
th percentile
Very High
Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Portland and the region
Centroid at 45.5133, -122.5159 · click any tract to drill in
Why Powellhurst scores 7.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
25.5% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$1,463 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5
How Powellhurst compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 79%Socioeconomic
- 90%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 537Total filings over 16 yrs
- 6.05%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.4%Peak (2007)
- 34Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 70% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 369Total filings 2020-21
- 4.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.26×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Powellhurst. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Powellhurst
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Portland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Multnomah County average of 6.9 and above the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.26x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051009202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051009202?
Census tract 41051009202 in the Powellhurst neighborhood scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41051009202?
Median gross rent is $1,463/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 76% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051009202?
25.5% of residents in tract 41051009202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,885.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051009202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 90th, minority 62th, housing 99th.
Q5
Is tract 41051009202 considered part of Powellhurst?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051009202 fall within Powellhurst (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051009202?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 537 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41051009202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.05% of renter households, peaking at 9.4% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41051009202 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.26× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41051009202 compare to Portland overall?
Tract 41051009202 scores 7.5/10, lower than the parent city of Portland at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Portland
Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Gateway
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
University District
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
University District
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Portsmouth
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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