Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #58,384 of 84,120 nationally
Roxbury Eviction Risk: Lower , Johnstown
Tract 42021011200 · Cambria County, PA · pop 2,196 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
The Roxbury area of Johnstown anchors census tract 42021011200, which lands at 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 56% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 51% of renter households, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,009 a month against an average household income of $74,833 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 22% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units970
Renter share21.9%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate8.4%
Median income$74,833
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
10
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
38
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Johnstown and the region
Centroid at 40.3108, -78.9327 · click any tract to drill in
Why Roxbury scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Johnstown
3.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.1
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
8.4% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,009 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Johnstown
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Johnstown
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Johnstown
6.3
How Roxbury compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 33
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 40%Socioeconomic
- 53%Household composition
- 14%Racial/ethnic minority
- 29%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 23%Grade B
- 5%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 3Total filings over 1 yrs
- 1.40%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.4%Peak (2006)
- 3Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Roxbury. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Roxbury
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Johnstown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cambria County average of 4.9 and in line with the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 33rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 42021011200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42021011200?
Census tract 42021011200 in the Roxbury neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42021011200?
Median gross rent is $1,009/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42021011200?
8.4% of residents in tract 42021011200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,196.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42021011200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 53th, minority 14th, housing 29th.
Q5
Is tract 42021011200 considered part of Roxbury?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42021011200 fall within Roxbury (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42021011200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 42021011200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.40% of renter households, peaking at 1.4% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42021011200 compare to Johnstown overall?
Tract 42021011200 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Johnstown at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Johnstown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42021011200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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