Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
Roxbury Eviction Risk: Lower , Johnstown
Tract 42021011200 · Cambria County, PA · pop 2,196 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Tract 42021011200 sits in the Roxbury area of Southmont, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.2/10. It is home to 2,196 residents. The severe-burden share is 39%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units970
Renter share21.9%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate8.4%
Median income$74,833
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
34
th percentile
Low
Within state
25
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Johnstown and the region
Centroid at 40.3108, -78.9327 · click any tract to drill in
Why Roxbury scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Johnstown
3.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.1
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
8.4% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,009 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Johnstown
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Johnstown
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Johnstown
6.3
How Roxbury compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 33
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 40%Socioeconomic
- 53%Household composition
- 14%Racial/ethnic minority
- 29%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 23%Grade B
- 5%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 3Total filings over 1 yrs
- 1.40%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.4%Peak (2006)
- 3Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Roxbury. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Roxbury
51% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Cambria County average of 37.4%. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.1/10.
The filing record is not thin: 3 evictions over 1 years of observation. It sits 0.9 points below the Cambria County average of 4.1.
Well under the midpoint, regional political climate reads 3.1/10. Filings peaked in 2006 at 1.4% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 1.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #63,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
At 22% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42021011200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42021011200?
Census tract 42021011200 in the Roxbury neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42021011200?
Median gross rent is $1,009/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42021011200?
8.4% of residents in tract 42021011200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,196.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42021011200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 53th, minority 14th, housing 29th.
Q5
Is tract 42021011200 considered part of Roxbury?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42021011200 fall within Roxbury (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42021011200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 42021011200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.40% of renter households, peaking at 1.4% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42021011200 compare to Johnstown overall?
Tract 42021011200 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Johnstown at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Johnstown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42021011200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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