Eviction Risk in Roxbury , Johnstown
Tract 42021011200 · Cambria County, PA · pop 2,196 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 42021011200 sits in the Roxbury neighborhood of Johnstown, Pennsylvania. It has a population of 2,196 and an eviction-risk score of 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). 51% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 39% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,009/month against a median household income of $74,833 — roughly 16% rent-to-income at the medians.
Racial & ethnic composition
White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood — 2,127 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).
- Hispanic / Latino 2.6%
- White (non-Hispanic) 90.1%
- Black (non-Hispanic) 1.3%
- Asian (non-Hispanic) 2.8%
- Other / Multiracial 3.1%
How the 5.5/10 score is composed
| Signal | Score | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Filing rate (county) | 5.8 | Eviction Lab via counties |
| State political climate | 3.4 | states.state_political_baseline |
| Regional political climate | 3.1 | 2024 county presidential margin |
| Local political climate | 3.8 | Johnstown (inherited) |
| Rent control risk | 8.1 | Johnstown (inherited) |
| Eviction process difficulty | 3.5 | state law |
| Tenant organizing strength | 5.0 | Johnstown (inherited) |
| Housing court bias | 6.3 | Johnstown (inherited) |
| Economic stress (tract) | 2.1 | this tract poverty rate |
| Supply constraint (tract) | 5.8 | tract rent vs county FMR |
SVI percentile: 33
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 40%Socioeconomic
- 53%Household composition
- 14%Racial/ethnic minority
- 29%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 3Total filings over 1 yrs
- 1.40%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.4%Peak (2006)
- 3Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Roxbury. Closest by composite score.
Dominant grade: B — still desirable
Approximately 27% of this tract's area was graded by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Johnstown. Source: Mapping Inequality (Nelson, Winling, Marciano, Connolly et al., University of Richmond) — CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
- 0.0%A (Best)
- 22.6%B (Desirable)
- 4.8%C (Declining)
- 0.0%D (Redlined)
Redlining is correlated with present-day eviction-filing rates, lower home-ownership, and greater rent burden — see Aaronson, Hartley & Mazumder (FRB Chicago, 2021). The shading above reflects 90-year-old appraisals; it is historical context, not a current credit signal.
About tract 42021011200
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42021011200?
Census tract 42021011200 in the Roxbury neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.
What is the median rent in tract 42021011200?
Median gross rent is $1,009/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
What is the poverty rate in tract 42021011200?
8.4% of residents in tract 42021011200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,196.
How socially vulnerable is tract 42021011200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 53th, minority 14th, housing 29th.
Is tract 42021011200 considered part of Roxbury?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42021011200 fall within Roxbury (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42021011200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 42021011200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.40% of renter households, peaking at 1.4% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Was tract 42021011200 redlined?
The dominant 1930s HOLC grade across this tract is B (Still Desirable). Roughly 0% of the tract's area sits inside historically redlined (grade-D) zones drawn by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Johnstown. Source: Mapping Inequality, University of Richmond.