Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
Roxbury Eviction Risk: Moderate , Johnstown
Tract 42021000700 · Cambria County, PA · pop 2,513 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 42021000700 covers part of the Roxbury area of Johnstown, PA, and scores 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,513 residents. Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,376
Renter share30.2%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate21.3%
Median income$47,798
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
13
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
81
th percentile
High
Within state
74
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Johnstown and the region
Centroid at 40.3007, -78.9214 · click any tract to drill in
Why Roxbury scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Johnstown
3.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.1
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
21.3% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$863 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Johnstown
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Johnstown
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Johnstown
7.5
How Roxbury compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 46
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 58%Socioeconomic
- 50%Household composition
- 25%Racial/ethnic minority
- 34%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 35%Grade B
- 38%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 12Total filings over 1 yrs
- 1.89%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.9%Peak (2006)
- 12Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Roxbury. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Roxbury
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.8/10. Average gross rent is $863, 34% above the Johnstown average. Against Cambria County at 37.4%, 49% of renters here are cost-burdened.
It sits 1.4 points above the Cambria County average of 4.1. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 7.5/10.
The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The filing record is not thin: 12 evictions over 1 years of observation. Well under the midpoint, regional political climate reads 3.1/10.
Filings peaked in 2006 at 1.9% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 1.9% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #23,808 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.1/10. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $47,798.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 42021000700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42021000700?
Census tract 42021000700 in the Roxbury neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42021000700?
Median gross rent is $863/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42021000700?
21.3% of residents in tract 42021000700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,513.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42021000700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 50th, minority 25th, housing 34th.
Q5
Is tract 42021000700 considered part of Roxbury?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42021000700 fall within Roxbury (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42021000700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 12 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 42021000700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.89% of renter households, peaking at 1.9% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42021000700 compare to Johnstown overall?
Tract 42021000700 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Johnstown at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Johnstown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42021000700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Johnstown
Top eight tracts in Johnstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Oakhurst Homes
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Prospect Homes
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Oakhurst Homes
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Prospect Homes
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Prospect Homes
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Moxham
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Prospect Homes
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Moxham
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Related