Roxbury Eviction Risk: Elevated , Johnstown
Tract 42021000700 · Cambria County, PA · pop 2,513 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 42021000700 covers the Roxbury area of Johnstown in Pennsylvania. Home to 2,513 residents, it scores 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 49% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $863 monthly, set against $47,798 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 30% of occupied homes.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Johnstown and the region
Centroid at 40.3007, -78.9214 · click any tract to drill in
Why Roxbury scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Roxbury compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 46
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 58%Socioeconomic
- 50%Household composition
- 25%Racial/ethnic minority
- 34%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 35%Grade B
- 38%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 12Total filings over 1 yrs
- 1.89%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.9%Peak (2006)
- 12Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Roxbury. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Roxbury
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Johnstown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cambria County average of 4.9 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 46th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 42021000700
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42021000700?
What is the average rent in tract 42021000700?
What is the poverty rate in tract 42021000700?
How socially vulnerable is tract 42021000700?
Is tract 42021000700 considered part of Roxbury?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42021000700?
How does tract 42021000700 compare to Johnstown overall?
Was tract 42021000700 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Johnstown
Top eight tracts in Johnstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.