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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally

Roxbury Eviction Risk: Elevated , Johnstown

Tract 42021000700 · Cambria County, PA · pop 2,513 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 42021000700 covers the Roxbury area of Johnstown in Pennsylvania. Home to 2,513 residents, it scores 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 49% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $863 monthly, set against $47,798 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 30% of occupied homes.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 16% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,376
Renter share30.2%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate21.3%
Median income$47,798

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Roxbury
Very High
Within parent city
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 9 tracts In Johnstown
Very Low
Within county
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 42 tracts In Cambria County
High
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#437 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Johnstown and the region

Centroid at 40.3007, -78.9214 · click any tract to drill in

Why Roxbury scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Johnstown
3.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.1
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
21.3% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$863 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Johnstown
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Johnstown
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Johnstown
7.5

How Roxbury compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Roxbury risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 000700Johnstown: 4.24.2Johnstownparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 12Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 1.89%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.9%Peak (2006)
  • 12Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Roxbury. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Roxbury

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Johnstown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cambria County average of 4.9 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 46th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 42021000700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42021000700?

Census tract 42021000700 in the Roxbury neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42021000700?

Median gross rent is $863/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42021000700?

21.3% of residents in tract 42021000700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,513.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42021000700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 50th, minority 25th, housing 34th.
Q5

Is tract 42021000700 considered part of Roxbury?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42021000700 fall within Roxbury (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42021000700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 12 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 42021000700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.89% of renter households, peaking at 1.9% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42021000700 compare to Johnstown overall?

Tract 42021000700 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Johnstown at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Johnstown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42021000700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Johnstown

Top eight tracts in Johnstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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