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Neighborhood · Johnstown, PA

Roxbury Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 4,709 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.6/10 · range 3–6

Roxbury is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Johnstown with 2 census tracts and a population of 4,709 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 50% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 34% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $931/month sits 45% higher than the Johnstown citywide average ($644).

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Roxbury vs Johnstown How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
49.9% +76%
Johnstown: 28.3%
Average gross rent
$931 +45%
Johnstown: $644
Average HH income
$60,406 +74%
Johnstown: $34,784
Poverty rate
15.3% -51%
Johnstown: 31.2%
Renter share
26.3% -41%
Johnstown: 44.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Roxbury and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–6

Why Roxbury scores 4.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts
3.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.8–3.8 across tracts
3.8
Rent control risk
50% of income on rent · Range 5.8–8.1 across tracts
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
26% renter households · Range 5.0–8.8 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.3–7.5 across tracts
6.9
Economic stress
15.3% below poverty line · Range 2.1–5.3 across tracts
3.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.2–5.8 across tracts
4.9
Risk score comparison

Roxbury vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Roxbury score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Roxbury: 4.64.6RoxburyNeighborhoodParent city: 4.24.2Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Roxbury

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
42021000700 6 2,513 49% $863
42021011200 3 2,196 51% $1,009
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 40

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 50%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 52%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 20%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 32%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Roxbury

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 15Total filings (sum)
  • 1.66%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.9%Peak year (2006)
  • 1.66%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked

About Roxbury

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Roxbury?

Roxbury scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Roxbury compare to Johnstown overall?

Roxbury scores 0.4 points higher than Johnstown overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $931 vs $644.
Q3

What is the average rent in Roxbury?

Average gross rent in Roxbury is $931/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Roxbury residents are renters?

26% of Roxbury households are renter-occupied (vs 45% in Johnstown). The neighborhood has 4,709 residents.
Q5

Is Roxbury a high social-vulnerability area?

Roxbury sits in the 40th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Roxbury have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Roxbury is census tract 42021000700 (score 6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 6, a spread of 3 points.
Q7

How safe is Roxbury for landlords?

Roxbury carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Johnstown as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Roxbury?

Roxbury has 4,764 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (87.8%), Hispanic / Latino (3.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (3.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Roxbury

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Johnstown

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Roxbury.

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