Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

State College South Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 42027012700 · Centre County, PA · pop 3,525 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 42027012700 covers part of the State College South area of State College, PA, and scores 6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,525 residents. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10.

Risk score

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 20% Owners 60%

Tract context

Occupied units1,576

Renter share40.0%

SVI overall0.31

Poverty rate10.2%

Median income$89,439

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across State College and the region

Centroid at 40.7886, -77.8399 · click any tract to drill in

Why State College South scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from State College

5.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.2

State political climate

Pennsylvania legislature & governorship

3.4

Economic stress

10.2% poverty · this tract

2.6

Supply constraint

$1,435 rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from State College

9.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.9

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from State College

9.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from State College

9.4

How State College South compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 31

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

18%Socioeconomic
16%Household composition
20%Racial/ethnic minority
81%Housing & transportation

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in State College South

On the high side, housing-court posture reads 9.4/10. The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.3/10. Against the Centre County average of 4.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points. Against Centre County at 44.4%, 51% of renters here are cost-burdened.

At $1,435 a month, rents run 13% over what the rest of State College commands. On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 3.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $89,439.

40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 42027012700

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42027012700?

Census tract 42027012700 in the State College South neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 42027012700?

Median gross rent is $1,435/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 42027012700?

10.2% of residents in tract 42027012700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,525.

How socially vulnerable is tract 42027012700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 16th, minority 20th, housing 81th.

Is tract 42027012700 considered part of State College South?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42027012700 fall within State College South (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 42027012700 compare to State College overall?

Tract 42027012700 scores 6/10, lower than the parent city of State College at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from State College eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in State College

Top eight tracts in State College ranked by composite eviction-risk score.