Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally

Orchard Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , State College

Tract 42027012800 · Centre County, PA · pop 5,577 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 42027012800 runs through Orchard Park in State College. With 5,577 residents, it scores 5.8/10 for landlords. That is riskier than about 67% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 55% of renter households, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,285 monthly, set against $55,699 in average yearly household income, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 76% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 34% Owners 24%

Tract context

Occupied units2,768

Renter share75.5%

SVI overall0.38

Poverty rate13.6%

Median income$55,699

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across State College and the region

Centroid at 40.7765, -77.8611 · click any tract to drill in

Why Orchard Park scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from State College

5.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.2

State political climate

Pennsylvania legislature & governorship

3.4

Economic stress

13.6% poverty · this tract

3.4

Supply constraint

$1,285 rent vs county FMR

4.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from State College

9.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.9

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from State College

9.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from State College

9.4

How Orchard Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 38

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

34%Socioeconomic
7%Household composition
38%Racial/ethnic minority
83%Housing & transportation

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Orchard Park

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from State College eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Centre County average of 4.8 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 38th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 42027012800

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42027012800?

Census tract 42027012800 in the Orchard Park neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 42027012800?

Median gross rent is $1,285/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 42027012800?

13.6% of residents in tract 42027012800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,577.

How socially vulnerable is tract 42027012800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 7th, minority 38th, housing 83th.

Is tract 42027012800 considered part of Orchard Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42027012800 fall within Orchard Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 42027012800 compare to State College overall?

Tract 42027012800 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of State College at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from State College eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in State College

Top eight tracts in State College ranked by composite eviction-risk score.