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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally

Orchard Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , State College

Tract 42027012800 · Centre County, PA · pop 5,577 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 42027012800 covers part of the Orchard Park area of State College, PA, and scores 7.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,577 residents. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 34% Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units2,768
Renter share75.5%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate13.6%
Median income$55,699

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Orchard Park
Moderate
Within parent city
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 9 tracts In State College
Low
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 41 tracts In Centre County
High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#207 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across State College and the region

Centroid at 40.7765, -77.8611 · click any tract to drill in

Why Orchard Park scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from State College
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
13.6% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,285 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from State College
9.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from State College
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from State College
9.4

How Orchard Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Orchard Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.3This tracttract 0128006.6State Collegeparent city4.5Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 38

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Orchard Park

Against the Centre County average of 4.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.8 points. 28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Running hot, housing-court posture reads 9.4/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.3/10. 76% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Cost burden runs 55% here against 44.4% across Centre County. Nationally it ranks #11,153 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 2.7 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $1,285, close to the State College average.

Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $55,699.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 42027012800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42027012800?

Census tract 42027012800 in the Orchard Park neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42027012800?

Median gross rent is $1,285/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42027012800?

13.6% of residents in tract 42027012800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,577.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42027012800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 7th, minority 38th, housing 83th.
Q5

Is tract 42027012800 considered part of Orchard Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42027012800 fall within Orchard Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 42027012800 compare to State College overall?

Tract 42027012800 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of State College at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from State College eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in State College

Top eight tracts in State College ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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