Neighborhood · Ranked #22,303 of 84,120 nationally

Howellville Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chesterbrook

Tract 42029300104 · Chester County, PA · pop 5,652 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Howellville in Chesterbrook is where census tract 42029300104 sits, home to 5,652 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.3/10. That is riskier than about 49% of US census tracts.

57% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,725 a month against an average household income of $233,306 a year, roughly 9% of income at the averages. Renters make up 14% of occupied homes.

Risk score

6.2

Elevated

Confidence 80% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 6% Owners 86%

Tract context

Occupied units2,137

Renter share13.6%

SVI overall0.05

Poverty rate5.8%

Median income$233,306

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chesterbrook and the region

Centroid at 40.0501, -75.4535 · click any tract to drill in

Why Howellville scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Chesterbrook

3.4

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Pennsylvania legislature & governorship

3.4

Economic stress

5.8% poverty · this tract

1.4

Supply constraint

$1,725 rent vs county FMR

4.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Chesterbrook

3.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Chesterbrook

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Chesterbrook

5.0

How Howellville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 5

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

3%Socioeconomic
46%Household composition
34%Racial/ethnic minority
5%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

38Total filings over 7 yrs
2.03%Avg annual filing rate
3.5%Peak (2003)
10Filings in 2006 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2000 to 2006

Filings climbed 400% over the past 7 months.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Howellville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Howellville

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chesterbrook, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Chester County average of 5.1 and in line with the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 5th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 38 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 2.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.5% of renter households in 2003.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 42029300104

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42029300104?

Census tract 42029300104 in the Howellville neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 42029300104?

Median gross rent is $1,725/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 42029300104?

5.8% of residents in tract 42029300104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,652.

How socially vulnerable is tract 42029300104?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 46th, minority 34th, housing 5th.

Is tract 42029300104 considered part of Howellville?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42029300104 fall within Howellville (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42029300104?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 38 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42029300104 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.03% of renter households, peaking at 3.5% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

How does tract 42029300104 compare to Chesterbrook overall?

Tract 42029300104 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Chesterbrook at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesterbrook; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.