Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally

Howellville Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesterbrook

Tract 42029300104 · Chester County, PA · pop 5,652 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 42029300104 covers part of the Howellville area of Chester County, PA, and scores 3.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,652 residents. Against Chester County at 41.5%, 57% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 6% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units2,137
Renter share13.6%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate5.8%
Median income$233,306

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Howellville
Elevated
Within county
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#69 of 124 tracts In Chester County
Moderate
Within state
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#2,105 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Low
National
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#54,273 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chesterbrook and the region

Centroid at 40.0501, -75.4535 · click any tract to drill in

Why Howellville scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chesterbrook
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
5.8% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,725 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesterbrook
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesterbrook
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesterbrook
5.0

How Howellville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Howellville risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.7This tracttract 3001044.5Chesterbrookparent city4.4Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 5

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 38Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 2.03%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.5%Peak (2003)
  • 10Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42029300104
Filings climbed 400% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Howellville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Howellville

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.4/10. Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 38 filings here across 7 tracked years.

It sits 0.7 points below the Chester County average of 4.4. Filings peaked in 2003 at 3.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.0% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 35th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability reads 1.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 9% of average household income of $233,306, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 42029300104

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42029300104?

Census tract 42029300104 in the Howellville neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42029300104?

Median gross rent is $1,725/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42029300104?

5.8% of residents in tract 42029300104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,652.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42029300104?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 46th, minority 34th, housing 5th.
Q5

Is tract 42029300104 considered part of Howellville?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42029300104 fall within Howellville (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42029300104?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 38 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42029300104 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.03% of renter households, peaking at 3.5% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42029300104 compare to Chesterbrook overall?

Tract 42029300104 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Chesterbrook at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesterbrook; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Related