Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #82,639 of 84,120 nationally
Howellville Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesterbrook
Tract 42029300106 · Chester County, PA · pop 5,428 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
The Howellville area of Chesterbrook anchors census tract 42029300106, which lands at 4.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 34th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 25% of renter households, a moderate level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,618 a month against an average household income of $140,972 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 36% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units2,272
Renter share35.8%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$140,972
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
2
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chesterbrook and the region
Centroid at 40.0704, -75.4551 · click any tract to drill in
Why Howellville scores 1.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chesterbrook
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,618 rent vs county FMR
9.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesterbrook
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesterbrook
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesterbrook
3.0
How Howellville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 6
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 6%Socioeconomic
- 10%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 13%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 29Total filings over 7 yrs
- 0.87%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.5%Peak (2004)
- 4Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 20% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Howellville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Howellville
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 9.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chesterbrook, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Chester County average of 5.1 and below the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 6th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 29 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 0.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 1.5% of renter households in 2004.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 42029300106
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42029300106?
Census tract 42029300106 in the Howellville neighborhood scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42029300106?
Median gross rent is $2,618/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42029300106?
1.4% of residents in tract 42029300106 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,428.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42029300106?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 10th, minority 59th, housing 13th.
Q5
Is tract 42029300106 considered part of Howellville?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42029300106 fall within Howellville (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42029300106?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 29 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42029300106 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.87% of renter households, peaking at 1.5% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42029300106 compare to Chesterbrook overall?
Tract 42029300106 scores 1.1/10, lower than the parent city of Chesterbrook at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesterbrook; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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