Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally
Howellville Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesterbrook
Tract 42029300106 · Chester County, PA · pop 5,428 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Census tract 42029300106 covers part of the Howellville area of Chesterbrook, PA, and scores 3.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,428 residents. roughly one in four of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Chester County average of 41.5%.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units2,272
Renter share35.8%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$140,972
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
39
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chesterbrook and the region
Centroid at 40.0704, -75.4551 · click any tract to drill in
Why Howellville scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chesterbrook
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,618 rent vs county FMR
9.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesterbrook
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesterbrook
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesterbrook
3.0
How Howellville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 6
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 6%Socioeconomic
- 10%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 13%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 29Total filings over 7 yrs
- 0.87%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.5%Peak (2004)
- 4Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 20% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Howellville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Howellville
The voucher gap is 45.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 9.5/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.
19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.5/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 29 filings here across 7 tracked years.
Against the Chester County average of 4.4, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. The worst year on record was 2004, when 1.5% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 0.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 35% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 1.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 42029300106
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42029300106?
Census tract 42029300106 in the Howellville neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42029300106?
Median gross rent is $2,618/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42029300106?
1.4% of residents in tract 42029300106 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,428.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42029300106?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 10th, minority 59th, housing 13th.
Q5
Is tract 42029300106 considered part of Howellville?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42029300106 fall within Howellville (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42029300106?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 29 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42029300106 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.87% of renter households, peaking at 1.5% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42029300106 compare to Chesterbrook overall?
Tract 42029300106 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Chesterbrook at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesterbrook; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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