Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally
Howellville Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesterbrook
Tract 42029300107 · Chester County, PA · pop 4,637 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
42029300107 is a census tract in the Howellville area of Chester County, PA. It scores 3.6/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,637. The severe-burden share is 80%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 1%
Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units1,541
Renter share9.1%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate4.8%
Median income$236,550
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
33
th percentile
Low
Within state
36
th percentile
Low
National
33
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chesterbrook and the region
Centroid at 40.0692, -75.4895 · click any tract to drill in
Why Howellville scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chesterbrook
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
4.8% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesterbrook
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesterbrook
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesterbrook
5.0
How Howellville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 9
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 6%Socioeconomic
- 56%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 6%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 4Total filings over 3 yrs
- 2.28%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.3%Peak (2005)
- 2Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 100% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Howellville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Howellville
91% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Chester County average of 41.5%. What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 94.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1.2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 4 filings here across 3 tracked years. Against the Chester County average of 4.4, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.
The worst year on record was 2005, when 3.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.3% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #56,048 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 9% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.8/10. Against average income of $236,550, annual rent is just 18%.
Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 42029300107
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42029300107?
Census tract 42029300107 in the Howellville neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42029300107?
Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 91% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42029300107?
4.8% of residents in tract 42029300107 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,637.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42029300107?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 56th, minority 42th, housing 6th.
Q5
Is tract 42029300107 considered part of Howellville?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42029300107 fall within Howellville (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42029300107?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 4 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 42029300107 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.28% of renter households, peaking at 3.3% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42029300107 compare to Chesterbrook overall?
Tract 42029300107 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Chesterbrook at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesterbrook; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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