Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #73,892 of 84,120 nationally
Howellville Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesterbrook
Tract 42029300103 · Chester County, PA · pop 2,795 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
With a score of 5.8/10, tract 42029300103 in the Howellville area of Chesterbrook ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,795 residents. That is riskier than about 67% of US census tracts.
About 52% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,811 a month against an average household income of $99,889 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 38% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,260
Renter share37.9%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate7.2%
Median income$99,889
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
53
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
15
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chesterbrook and the region
Centroid at 40.0466, -75.4835 · click any tract to drill in
Why Howellville scores 2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chesterbrook
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
7.2% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,811 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesterbrook
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesterbrook
5.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesterbrook
5.2
How Howellville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 51
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 35%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 56%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 31Total filings over 7 yrs
- 0.99%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.3%Peak (2000)
- 5Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 17% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Howellville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Howellville
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chesterbrook, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Chester County average of 5.1 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 31 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 1.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 1.3% of renter households in 2000.
The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 51st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 42029300103
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42029300103?
Census tract 42029300103 in the Howellville neighborhood scores 2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42029300103?
Median gross rent is $1,811/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42029300103?
7.2% of residents in tract 42029300103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,795.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42029300103?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 73th, minority 56th, housing 50th.
Q5
Is tract 42029300103 considered part of Howellville?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42029300103 fall within Howellville (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42029300103?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 31 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42029300103 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.99% of renter households, peaking at 1.3% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42029300103 compare to Chesterbrook overall?
Tract 42029300103 scores 2/10, lower than the parent city of Chesterbrook at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesterbrook; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chesterbrook
Top eight tracts in Chesterbrook ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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