Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally
Howellville Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chesterbrook
Tract 42029300103 · Chester County, PA · pop 2,795 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
With a score of 4.7/10, tract 42029300103 in the Howellville area of Paoli, PA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,795. 27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,260
Renter share37.9%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate7.2%
Median income$99,889
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chesterbrook and the region
Centroid at 40.0466, -75.4835 · click any tract to drill in
Why Howellville scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chesterbrook
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
7.2% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,811 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesterbrook
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesterbrook
5.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesterbrook
5.2
How Howellville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 51
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 35%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 56%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 31Total filings over 7 yrs
- 0.99%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.3%Peak (2000)
- 5Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 17% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Howellville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Howellville
Against Chester County at 41.5%, 52% of renters here are cost-burdened. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.8/10.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 31 evictions over 7 years of observation.
Average gross rent is $1,811, 9% below the Paoli average. The worst year on record was 2000, when 1.3% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 1.0% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #37,882 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.6/10.
It tracks the Chester County average of 4.4 closely. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $99,889. 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42029300103
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42029300103?
Census tract 42029300103 in the Howellville neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42029300103?
Median gross rent is $1,811/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42029300103?
7.2% of residents in tract 42029300103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,795.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42029300103?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 73th, minority 56th, housing 50th.
Q5
Is tract 42029300103 considered part of Howellville?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42029300103 fall within Howellville (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42029300103?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 31 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42029300103 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.99% of renter households, peaking at 1.3% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42029300103 compare to Chesterbrook overall?
Tract 42029300103 scores 4.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Chesterbrook at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesterbrook; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chesterbrook
Top eight tracts in Chesterbrook ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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