Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
Bradford Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Exton
Tract 42029302203 · Chester County, PA · pop 4,745 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 42029302203 covers part of the Bradford Hills area of Chester County, PA, and scores 3.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,745 residents. The voucher gap is 37.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units1,726
Renter share9.1%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate6.9%
Median income$135,729
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
42
th percentile
Moderate
National
38
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Exton and the region
Centroid at 40.0035, -75.6300 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bradford Hills scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Exton
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
6.9% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$2,473 rent vs county FMR
8.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Exton
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Exton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Exton
5.0
How Bradford Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 9
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 3%Socioeconomic
- 32%Household composition
- 33%Racial/ethnic minority
- 19%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 28Total filings over 6 yrs
- 3.10%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.3%Peak (2004)
- 2Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bradford Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bradford Hills
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 8.7/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.7/10.
The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against Chester County at 41.5%, 48% of renters here are cost-burdened. Court records carry 28 eviction filings across 6 observed years.
Against the Chester County average of 4.4, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.6 points. The worst year on record was 2004, when 6.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.1% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 38% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 9% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 42029302203
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42029302203?
Census tract 42029302203 in the Bradford Hills neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42029302203?
Median gross rent is $2,473/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42029302203?
6.9% of residents in tract 42029302203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,745.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42029302203?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 32th, minority 33th, housing 19th.
Q5
Is tract 42029302203 considered part of Bradford Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42029302203 fall within Bradford Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42029302203?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 28 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 42029302203 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.10% of renter households, peaking at 6.3% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42029302203 compare to Exton overall?
Tract 42029302203 scores 3.8/10, lower than the parent city of Exton at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Exton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Related