Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally
Brandywine at Thornbury Eviction Risk: Lower , Cheyney University
Tract 42029302902 · Chester County, PA · pop 6,563 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Tract 42029302902 sits in the Brandywine at Thornbury area of Chester County, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.6/10. Population here is 6,563. The severe-burden share is 67%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units2,316
Renter share14.6%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate4.0%
Median income$130,694
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
38
th percentile
Low
Within state
36
th percentile
Low
National
33
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cheyney University and the region
Centroid at 39.9318, -75.5769 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brandywine at Thornbury scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cheyney University
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
4.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,340 rent vs county FMR
8.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cheyney University
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cheyney University
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cheyney University
5.0
How Brandywine at Thornbury compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 11
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 7%Socioeconomic
- 47%Household composition
- 7%Racial/ethnic minority
- 20%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 53Total filings over 7 yrs
- 2.31%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.3%Peak (2001)
- 5Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 44% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Brandywine at Thornbury. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Brandywine at Thornbury
Against Chester County at 41.5%, 89% of renters here are cost-burdened. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. The voucher gap is 29.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
On the high side, supply constraint reads 8/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 53 filings here across 7 tracked years.
It sits 0.8 points below the Chester County average of 4.4. The worst year on record was 2001, when 4.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.3% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #56,048 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 15% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2/10. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42029302902
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42029302902?
Census tract 42029302902 in the Brandywine at Thornbury neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42029302902?
Median gross rent is $2,340/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 89% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42029302902?
4.0% of residents in tract 42029302902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,563.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42029302902?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 47th, minority 7th, housing 20th.
Q5
Is tract 42029302902 considered part of Brandywine at Thornbury?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42029302902 fall within Brandywine at Thornbury (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42029302902?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 53 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42029302902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.31% of renter households, peaking at 4.3% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42029302902 compare to Cheyney University overall?
Tract 42029302902 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Cheyney University at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cheyney University; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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