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Neighborhood · Colonial Park, PA

Catalina Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 6,030 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.3/10 · range 4.3–4.3

Catalina maps to a single census tract in Colonial Park, PA and houses 6,030 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.3/10, Moderate tier. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.

Running cool is economic stress, at 1.6/10. Cost burden runs 37% against 29.2% citywide, putting Catalina 8.0% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 14%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The filing record is not thin: 770 evictions logged in this tract.

Filing activity peaked in 2006 at 21.0% of renter households. At $1,304 a month, rents sit 6% under what the rest of Colonial Park commands. Among the 4 mapped neighborhoods of Colonial Park, it ranks #3 by risk, the lower third.

Judgments average 3.3% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. For a like-for-like read, David Manor and Twin Lakes Park score within a fraction of it.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.4/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Catalina vs Colonial Park How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
37.2% +27%
Colonial Park: 29.2%
Average gross rent
$1,304 -6%
Colonial Park: $1,392
Average HH income
$64,834 -7%
Colonial Park: $69,804
Poverty rate
6.3% -37%
Colonial Park: 10.1%
Renter share
51.3% -4%
Colonial Park: 53.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Catalina and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.3–4.3

Why Catalina scores 4.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Rent control risk
37% of income on rent · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
51% renter households · Range 9.2–9.2 across tracts
9.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
6.3% below poverty line · Range 1.6–1.6 across tracts
1.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Risk score comparison

Catalina vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Catalina score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.3CatalinaNeighborhood4.5Parent cityhost city4.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Catalina

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
42043022300 4.3 6,030 37% $1,304
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 82

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 55%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 88%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 66%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 93%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Catalina

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 770Total filings (sum)
  • 10.99%Avg annual filing rate
  • 21.0%Peak year (2006)
  • 20.96%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked

About Catalina

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Catalina?

Catalina scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Catalina compare to Colonial Park overall?

Catalina scores 0.2 points lower than Colonial Park overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 37% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,304 vs $1,392.
Q3

What is the average rent in Catalina?

Average gross rent in Catalina is $1,304/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Catalina residents are renters?

51% of Catalina households are renter-occupied (vs 53% in Colonial Park). The neighborhood has 6,030 residents.
Q5

Is Catalina a high social-vulnerability area?

Catalina sits in the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Catalina for landlords?

Catalina carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Colonial Park as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Catalina?

Catalina has 5,520 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (50.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (18.6%), Hispanic / Latino (14.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Catalina

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Colonial Park

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Catalina.

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