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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,032 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Eviction Risk: Elevated , Scranton

Tract 42069102500 · Lackawanna County, PA · pop 3,153 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Tract 42069102500 sits in the Downtown area of Scranton eviction risk, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.4/10. It is home to 3,153 residents. 49% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 29% Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,156
Renter share67.9%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate28.5%
Median income$37,984

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Downtown
Very Low
Within parent city
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 27 tracts In Scranton
Elevated
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 60 tracts In Lackawanna County
Very High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#517 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Scranton and the region

Centroid at 41.4016, -75.6668 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Scranton
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
28.5% poverty · this tract
7.1
Supply constraint
$943 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scranton
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scranton
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scranton
7.5

How Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.4This tracttract 1025005.0Scrantonparent city4.6Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 294Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 5.41%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.1%Peak (2006)
  • 66Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42069102500
Filings climbed 89% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown

Against Lackawanna County at 41.6%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. Against the Lackawanna County average of 4.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.8 points.

68% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The poverty rate is 29%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

On the high side, housing-court posture reads 7.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.3/10. Court records carry 294 eviction filings across 7 observed years.

At $943 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Scranton commands. The worst year on record was 2006, when 8.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.4% of renter households face a filing.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 42069102500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42069102500?

Census tract 42069102500 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42069102500?

Median gross rent is $943/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42069102500?

28.5% of residents in tract 42069102500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,153.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42069102500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 98th, minority 78th, housing 86th.
Q5

Is tract 42069102500 considered part of Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42069102500 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42069102500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 294 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42069102500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.41% of renter households, peaking at 8.1% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42069102500 compare to Scranton overall?

Tract 42069102500 scores 6.4/10, higher than the parent city of Scranton at 5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scranton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Scranton

Top eight tracts in Scranton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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