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Neighborhood · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally

Lower Moosic Eviction Risk: Lower , Old Forge

Tract 42069112800 · Lackawanna County, PA · pop 5,930 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Lower Moosic in Old Forge anchors census tract 42069112800, which lands at 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #27,701 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 46% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,268 a month against an average household income of $74,792 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 36% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 19% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units2,322
Renter share35.7%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate7.5%
Median income$74,792

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Lower Moosic
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Old Forge
Moderate
Within county
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#52 of 60 tracts In Lackawanna County
Very Low
Within state
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#2,305 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Old Forge and the region

Centroid at 41.3560, -75.7047 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lower Moosic scores 2.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Old Forge
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
7.5% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,268 rent vs county FMR
6.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Old Forge
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Old Forge
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Old Forge
5.1

How Lower Moosic compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lower Moosic risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.82.8This tracttract 112800Old Forge: 3.93.9Old Forgeparent cityCounty: 4.74.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 65Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 1.97%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.6%Peak (2000)
  • 11Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420691128002000: 14 filings (3.55/100 renter HHs)2001: 7 filings (1.78/100 renter HHs)2002: 9 filings (2.28/100 renter HHs)2003: 6 filings (1.52/100 renter HHs)2004: 5 filings (1.27/100 renter HHs)2005: 13 filings (1.82/100 renter HHs)2006: 11 filings (1.54/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 21% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lower Moosic. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lower Moosic

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Old Forge, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lackawanna County average of 5.7 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 46th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 65 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 2.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.6% of renter households in 2000.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 42069112800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42069112800?

Census tract 42069112800 in the Lower Moosic neighborhood scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42069112800?

Median gross rent is $1,268/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42069112800?

7.5% of residents in tract 42069112800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,930.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42069112800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 51th, minority 25th, housing 64th.
Q5

Is tract 42069112800 considered part of Lower Moosic?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42069112800 fall within Lower Moosic (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42069112800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 65 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42069112800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.97% of renter households, peaking at 3.6% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42069112800 compare to Old Forge overall?

Tract 42069112800 scores 2.8/10, lower than the parent city of Old Forge at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Old Forge; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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