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Neighborhood · Old Forge, PA

Lower Moosic Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 14,436 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.1/10 · range 3–3.4

Lower Moosic is a 3-tract neighborhood of Old Forge, PA and houses 14,436 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.1/10, in the Lower tier. Cost burden runs 36% against 25.4% citywide, putting Lower Moosic 10.9% over its own city.

The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.9/10. Severe burden reaches 17%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. At $1,017 a month, rents sit 18% over what the rest of Old Forge commands.

Filings are well documented here: 291 across 3 observed tracts. Filing activity peaked in 2006 at 6.3% of renter households. Judgments average 1.5% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

Rent takes 16% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. The 3 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.4 points apart at the extremes. 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
3 tracts · population-weighted
Lower Moosic vs Old Forge How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
36.3% +43%
Old Forge: 25.4%
Average gross rent
$1,017 +18%
Old Forge: $859
Average HH income
$74,691 +2%
Old Forge: $73,258
Poverty rate
7.5% +1%
Old Forge: 7.4%
Renter share
31.4% +5%
Old Forge: 30.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lower Moosic and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3–3.4

Why Lower Moosic scores 3.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Rent control risk
36% of income on rent · Range 3.5–6.0 across tracts
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts
3.6
Tenant organizing strength
31% renter households · Range 6.3–7.5 across tracts
6.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.9–5.1 across tracts
4.4
Economic stress
7.5% below poverty line · Range 1.8–2.0 across tracts
1.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.0–6.3 across tracts
4.0
Risk score comparison

Lower Moosic vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lower Moosic score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.1Lower MoosicNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Lower Moosic?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.4 points from 3 to 3.4. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Lower Moosic

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
42069112700 3.4 2,910 44% $947
42069112800 3.1 5,930 46% $1,268
42069112600 3 5,596 21% $788
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 41

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 31%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 55%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 25%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 57%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Lower Moosic

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 291Total filings (sum)
  • 2.42%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.3%Peak year (2006)
  • 2.28%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked

About Lower Moosic

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lower Moosic?

Lower Moosic scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lower Moosic compare to Old Forge overall?

Lower Moosic scores 0.9 points lower than Old Forge overall (4/10). Renters spend 36% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $1,017 vs $859.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lower Moosic?

Average gross rent in Lower Moosic is $1,017/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lower Moosic residents are renters?

31% of Lower Moosic households are renter-occupied (vs 30% in Old Forge). The neighborhood has 14,436 residents.
Q5

Is Lower Moosic a high social-vulnerability area?

Lower Moosic sits in the 41st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Lower Moosic have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Lower Moosic is census tract 42069112700 (score 3.4/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.4, a spread of 0.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Lower Moosic for landlords?

Lower Moosic carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.1/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Old Forge as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Lower Moosic?

Lower Moosic has 14,487 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (82.9%), Hispanic / Latino (7.4%), Other / Multiracial (5.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lower Moosic

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