Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally
Lower Moosic Eviction Risk: Lower , Old Forge
Tract 42069112600 · Lackawanna County, PA · pop 5,596 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Eviction risk in the Lower Moosic area of Old Forge centers on tract 42069112600, which scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 5,596 residents. It lands near the 22nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
21% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $788 monthly, set against $77,778 in average yearly household income, roughly 12% of income at the averages. About 25% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units2,340
Renter share24.7%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate7.1%
Median income$77,778
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
12
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
29
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Old Forge and the region
Centroid at 41.3747, -75.7441 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lower Moosic scores 2.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Old Forge
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
7.1% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$788 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Old Forge
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Old Forge
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Old Forge
3.9
How Lower Moosic compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 44
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 30%Socioeconomic
- 58%Household composition
- 26%Racial/ethnic minority
- 64%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 193Total filings over 7 yrs
- 3.52%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.3%Peak (2001)
- 34Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lower Moosic. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lower Moosic
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Old Forge, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Lackawanna County average of 5.7 and below the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 44th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 193 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 3.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.3% of renter households in 2001.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 42069112600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42069112600?
Census tract 42069112600 in the Lower Moosic neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42069112600?
Median gross rent is $788/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 21% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42069112600?
7.1% of residents in tract 42069112600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,596.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42069112600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 58th, minority 26th, housing 64th.
Q5
Is tract 42069112600 considered part of Lower Moosic?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42069112600 fall within Lower Moosic (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42069112600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 193 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42069112600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.52% of renter households, peaking at 6.3% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42069112600 compare to Old Forge overall?
Tract 42069112600 scores 2.6/10, lower than the parent city of Old Forge at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Old Forge; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Old Forge
Top eight tracts in Old Forge ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related