Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Lincoln Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Ephrata
Tract 42071012302 · Lancaster County, PA · pop 2,983 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
42071012302 is a census tract in the Lincoln Heights area of Ephrata, PA. It scores 4.3/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,983 residents. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.8/10.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,370
Renter share32.3%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate7.2%
Median income$70,446
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ephrata and the region
Centroid at 40.1813, -76.1933 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lincoln Heights scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ephrata
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
7.2% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$997 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ephrata
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ephrata
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ephrata
4.4
How Lincoln Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 18%Racial/ethnic minority
- 75%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 71Total filings over 7 yrs
- 2.35%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.5%Peak (2004)
- 7Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lincoln Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Heights
The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.8/10.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.2/10. The filing record is not thin: 71 evictions over 7 years of observation.
Cost burden runs 46% here against 41.1% across Lancaster County. At $997 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of Ephrata commands.
Filings peaked in 2004 at 3.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 47th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 6.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $70,446, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 42071012302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42071012302?
Census tract 42071012302 in the Lincoln Heights neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42071012302?
Median gross rent is $997/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42071012302?
7.2% of residents in tract 42071012302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,983.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42071012302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 67th, minority 18th, housing 75th.
Q5
Is tract 42071012302 considered part of Lincoln Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42071012302 fall within Lincoln Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42071012302?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 71 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42071012302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.35% of renter households, peaking at 3.5% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42071012302 compare to Ephrata overall?
Tract 42071012302 scores 4.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Ephrata at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ephrata eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ephrata
Top eight tracts in Ephrata ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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