Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #60,063 of 84,120 nationally
Lincoln Heights Eviction Risk: Lower , Ephrata
Tract 42071012403 · Lancaster County, PA · pop 5,066 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 42071012403 runs through the Lincoln Heights neighborhood of Ephrata. With 5,066 residents, it scores 4.6/10 for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #63,145 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 27% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,358 a month while the average household earns $72,397 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 41% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.9
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units2,238
Renter share41.0%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate2.8%
Median income$72,397
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
36
th percentile
Low
National
29
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ephrata and the region
Centroid at 40.1842, -76.2200 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lincoln Heights scores 2.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ephrata
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
2.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,358 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ephrata
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ephrata
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ephrata
5.0
How Lincoln Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 41
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 35%Socioeconomic
- 15%Household composition
- 15%Racial/ethnic minority
- 84%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 69Total filings over 7 yrs
- 4.29%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.0%Peak (2004)
- 11Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 83% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lincoln Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Heights
The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Ephrata eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Lancaster County average of 5.3 and below the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 41st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 69 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 4.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.0% of renter households in 2004.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 42071012403
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42071012403?
Census tract 42071012403 in the Lincoln Heights neighborhood scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42071012403?
Median gross rent is $1,358/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42071012403?
2.8% of residents in tract 42071012403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,066.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42071012403?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 15th, minority 15th, housing 84th.
Q5
Is tract 42071012403 considered part of Lincoln Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42071012403 fall within Lincoln Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42071012403?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 69 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42071012403 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.29% of renter households, peaking at 8.0% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42071012403 compare to Ephrata overall?
Tract 42071012403 scores 2.9/10, lower than the parent city of Ephrata at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ephrata eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Related