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Neighborhood · Ephrata, PA

Lincoln Heights Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 8,049 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.9/10 · range 3.6–4.3

Lincoln Heights spans 2 census tracts of Ephrata, PA and houses 8,049 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.9/10, in the Lower tier. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.3/10.

Cost burden runs 34% against 24.8% citywide, putting Lincoln Heights 8.9% over its own city. Severe burden reaches 14%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Filings are well documented here: 140 across 2 observed tracts.

The worst year on record was 2004, when filings touched 8.0% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 2.9% in 2006, is well off that peak. At $1,224 a month, rents sit 7% over what the rest of Ephrata commands.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.7 points apart at the extremes.

Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $71,674. 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

With little internal variation, 3.9/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Lincoln Heights vs Ephrata How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
33.7% +36%
Ephrata: 24.8%
Average gross rent
$1,224 +7%
Ephrata: $1,143
Average HH income
$71,674 +5%
Ephrata: $68,117
Poverty rate
4.4% -52%
Ephrata: 9.3%
Renter share
37.7% -15%
Ephrata: 44.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln Heights and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.6–4.3

Why Lincoln Heights scores 3.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.4–4.8 across tracts
3.9
Rent control risk
34% of income on rent · Range 3.4–4.0 across tracts
3.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.2–5.0 across tracts
4.3
Tenant organizing strength
38% renter households · Range 4.0–8.8 across tracts
5.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.4–5.0 across tracts
4.8
Economic stress
4.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.8 across tracts
1.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.2–4.7 across tracts
3.8
Risk score comparison

Lincoln Heights vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lincoln Heights score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.9Lincoln HeightsNeighborhood4.1Parent cityhost city4.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Lincoln Heights

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
42071012302 4.3 2,983 46% $997
42071012403 3.6 5,066 27% $1,358
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 48

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 41%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 35%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 16%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 81%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Lincoln Heights

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 140Total filings (sum)
  • 3.57%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.0%Peak year (2004)
  • 3.22%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked

About Lincoln Heights

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lincoln Heights?

Lincoln Heights scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lincoln Heights compare to Ephrata overall?

Lincoln Heights scores 0.2 points lower than Ephrata overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 34% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $1,224 vs $1,143.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lincoln Heights?

Average gross rent in Lincoln Heights is $1,224/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lincoln Heights residents are renters?

38% of Lincoln Heights households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in Ephrata). The neighborhood has 8,049 residents.
Q5

Is Lincoln Heights a high social-vulnerability area?

Lincoln Heights sits in the 48th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Lincoln Heights have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Lincoln Heights is census tract 42071012302 (score 4.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.6 to 4.3, a spread of 0.7 points.
Q7

How safe is Lincoln Heights for landlords?

Lincoln Heights carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Ephrata as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Lincoln Heights?

Lincoln Heights has 8,134 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (88.1%), Hispanic / Latino (6%), Other / Multiracial (3.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lincoln Heights

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Ephrata

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lincoln Heights.

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