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Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally

Prospect Heights Eviction Risk: Lower , Lancaster

Tract 42071013504 · Lancaster County, PA · pop 6,097 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

42071013504 is a census tract in the Prospect Heights area of Lancaster County, PA. It scores 3.9/10 for landlords. Cost burden runs 57% here against 41.1% across Lancaster County.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 13% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units2,239
Renter share30.2%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate10.7%
Median income$90,188

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Prospect Heights
Very Low
Within county
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#59 of 116 tracts In Lancaster County
Moderate
Within state
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#1,923 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Moderate
National
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#50,654 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lancaster and the region

Centroid at 40.0071, -76.3154 · click any tract to drill in

Why Prospect Heights scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lancaster
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
10.7% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,571 rent vs county FMR
6.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lancaster
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lancaster
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lancaster
5.0

How Prospect Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Prospect Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.9This tracttract 0135045.2Lancasterparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 52

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Prospect Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Prospect Heights

31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 7.6/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.7/10.

The voucher gap is 12.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Lancaster. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.6/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the Lancaster County average of 4.2 closely. Average gross rent runs $1,571 a month.

Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $90,188. 30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 42071013504

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42071013504?

Census tract 42071013504 in the Prospect Heights neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42071013504?

Median gross rent is $1,571/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42071013504?

10.7% of residents in tract 42071013504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,097.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42071013504?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 83th, minority 73th, housing 17th.
Q5

Is tract 42071013504 considered part of Prospect Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42071013504 fall within Prospect Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 42071013504 compare to Lancaster overall?

Tract 42071013504 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of Lancaster at 5.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 42071013504 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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