Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #56,660 of 84,120 nationally
Prospect Heights Eviction Risk: Lower , Lancaster
Tract 42071013504 · Lancaster County, PA · pop 6,097 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 42071013504 (Prospect Heights in Lancaster, Pennsylvania) comes in at 5.6/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #33,973 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 57% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,571 a month while the average household earns $90,188 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 30% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units2,239
Renter share30.2%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate10.7%
Median income$90,188
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
National
33
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lancaster and the region
Centroid at 40.0071, -76.3154 · click any tract to drill in
Why Prospect Heights scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lancaster
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
10.7% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,571 rent vs county FMR
6.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lancaster
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lancaster
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lancaster
5.0
How Prospect Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 51%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 17%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Prospect Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Prospect Heights
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 6.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lancaster County average of 5.3 and in line with the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 52nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 42071013504
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42071013504?
Census tract 42071013504 in the Prospect Heights neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42071013504?
Median gross rent is $1,571/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42071013504?
10.7% of residents in tract 42071013504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,097.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42071013504?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 83th, minority 73th, housing 17th.
Q5
Is tract 42071013504 considered part of Prospect Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42071013504 fall within Prospect Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 42071013504 compare to Lancaster overall?
Tract 42071013504 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Lancaster at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7
Was tract 42071013504 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Related