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Neighborhood · Lancaster, PA

Prospect Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 15,588 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.3/10 · range 3.9–6.6

Prospect Heights is a 3-tract neighborhood of Lancaster, PA and houses 15,588 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.3/10, Moderate tier. 62% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Lancaster rate of 28.9%.

27% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Scores across the 3 constituent tracts range from 3.9 to 6.6. A 2.7-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 7.1/10. The filing record is not thin: 190 evictions logged in this tract.

The worst year on record was 2006, when filings touched 9.6% of renter households. At $1,326 a month, rents sit 7% over what the rest of Lancaster commands.

That places it #13 of 17 neighborhoods in Lancaster. Judgments average 3.5% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. For a like-for-like read, Sunnyside and College Park score within a fraction of it.

Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $75,516. 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 5.3 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Prospect Heights vs Lancaster How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
62.0% +115%
Lancaster: 28.9%
Average gross rent
$1,326 +7%
Lancaster: $1,240
Average HH income
$75,516 +19%
Lancaster: $63,421
Poverty rate
14.6% -29%
Lancaster: 20.7%
Renter share
32.0% -38%
Lancaster: 51.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Prospect Heights and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3.9–6.6

Why Prospect Heights scores 5.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.4–4.8 across tracts
4.3
Rent control risk
62% of income on rent · Range 3.4–6.4 across tracts
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.3–5.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
32% renter households · Range 4.0–9.3 across tracts
7.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–7.5 across tracts
6.3
Economic stress
14.6% below poverty line · Range 2.7–4.4 across tracts
3.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.8–6.3 across tracts
4.5
Risk score comparison

Prospect Heights vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Prospect Heights score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.3Prospect HeightsNeighborhood5.2Parent cityhost city4.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Prospect Heights?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.7 points from 3.9 to 6.6. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Prospect Heights

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
42071001200 6.6 5,689 72% $1,090
42071013505 5.5 3,802 56% $1,285
42071013504 3.9 6,097 57% $1,571
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 60

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 52%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 78%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 75%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 40%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Prospect Heights

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 190Total filings (sum)
  • 5.82%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.6%Peak year (2006)
  • 9.57%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked

About Prospect Heights

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Prospect Heights?

Prospect Heights scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Prospect Heights compare to Lancaster overall?

Prospect Heights scores 0.1 points higher than Lancaster overall (5.2/10). Renters spend 62% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,326 vs $1,240.
Q3

What is the average rent in Prospect Heights?

Average gross rent in Prospect Heights is $1,326/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Prospect Heights residents are renters?

32% of Prospect Heights households are renter-occupied (vs 51% in Lancaster). The neighborhood has 15,588 residents.
Q5

Is Prospect Heights a high social-vulnerability area?

Prospect Heights sits in the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Prospect Heights have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Prospect Heights is census tract 42071001200 (score 6.6/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.9 to 6.6, a spread of 2.7 points.
Q7

How safe is Prospect Heights for landlords?

Prospect Heights carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.3/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lancaster as a whole (5.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Prospect Heights?

Prospect Heights has 15,310 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (44.6%), Hispanic / Latino (31.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (14.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Prospect Heights

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lancaster

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Prospect Heights.

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