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Neighborhood · Lancaster, PA

Prospect Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 15,588 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 3.1–5.7

Prospect Heights is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Lancaster with 3 census tracts and a population of 15,588 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 62% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 27% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,326/month sits 7% higher than the Lancaster citywide average ($1,240).

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Prospect Heights vs Lancaster How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
62.0% +115%
Lancaster: 28.9%
Average gross rent
$1,326 +7%
Lancaster: $1,240
Average HH income
$75,516 +19%
Lancaster: $63,421
Poverty rate
14.6% -29%
Lancaster: 20.7%
Renter share
32.0% -38%
Lancaster: 51.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Prospect Heights and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3.1–5.7

Why Prospect Heights scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.4–4.8 across tracts
4.3
Rent control risk
62% of income on rent · Range 3.4–6.4 across tracts
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.3–5.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
32% renter households · Range 4.0–9.3 across tracts
7.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–7.5 across tracts
6.3
Economic stress
14.6% below poverty line · Range 2.7–4.4 across tracts
3.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.8–6.3 across tracts
4.5
Risk score comparison

Prospect Heights vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Prospect Heights score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Prospect Heights: 4.54.5Prospect HeightsNeighborhoodParent city: 4.14.1Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Prospect Heights?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.6 points from 3.1 to 5.7. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Prospect Heights

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
42071001200 5.7 5,689 72% $1,090
42071013505 5 3,802 56% $1,285
42071013504 3.1 6,097 57% $1,571
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 60

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 52%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 78%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 75%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 40%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Prospect Heights

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 190Total filings (sum)
  • 5.82%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.6%Peak year (2006)
  • 9.57%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked

About Prospect Heights

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Prospect Heights?

Prospect Heights scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Prospect Heights compare to Lancaster overall?

Prospect Heights scores 0.4 points higher than Lancaster overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 62% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,326 vs $1,240.
Q3

What is the average rent in Prospect Heights?

Average gross rent in Prospect Heights is $1,326/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Prospect Heights residents are renters?

32% of Prospect Heights households are renter-occupied (vs 51% in Lancaster). The neighborhood has 15,588 residents.
Q5

Is Prospect Heights a high social-vulnerability area?

Prospect Heights sits in the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Prospect Heights have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Prospect Heights is census tract 42071001200 (score 5.7/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.1 to 5.7, a spread of 2.6 points.
Q7

How safe is Prospect Heights for landlords?

Prospect Heights carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lancaster as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Prospect Heights?

Prospect Heights has 15,310 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (44.6%), Hispanic / Latino (31.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (14.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Prospect Heights

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lancaster

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Prospect Heights.

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