Neighborhood · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally

Prospect Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lancaster

Tract 42071013505 · Lancaster County, PA · pop 3,802 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

For landlords sizing up the Prospect Heights neighborhood of Lancaster, census tract 42071013505 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.2/10. That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 56% of renter households, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,285 a month while the average household earns $77,589 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 17% Owners 62%

Tract context

Occupied units1,553

Renter share38.1%

SVI overall0.66

Poverty rate16.2%

Median income$77,589

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lancaster and the region

Centroid at 40.0173, -76.3349 · click any tract to drill in

Why Prospect Heights scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lancaster

4.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.2

State political climate

Pennsylvania legislature & governorship

3.4

Economic stress

16.2% poverty · this tract

4.0

Supply constraint

$1,285 rent vs county FMR

4.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lancaster

6.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lancaster

8.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lancaster

7.5

How Prospect Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 66

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

54%Socioeconomic
77%Household composition
64%Racial/ethnic minority
61%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
4%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Prospect Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Prospect Heights

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lancaster County average of 5.3 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 66th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42071013505

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42071013505?

Census tract 42071013505 in the Prospect Heights neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 42071013505?

Median gross rent is $1,285/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 42071013505?

16.2% of residents in tract 42071013505 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,802.

How socially vulnerable is tract 42071013505?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 77th, minority 64th, housing 61th.

Is tract 42071013505 considered part of Prospect Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42071013505 fall within Prospect Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 42071013505 compare to Lancaster overall?

Tract 42071013505 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Lancaster at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 42071013505 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lancaster

Top eight tracts in Lancaster ranked by composite eviction-risk score.