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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally

Georgetown Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Millersville

Tract 42071013701 · Lancaster County, PA · pop 5,699 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 42071013701 runs through the Georgetown Hills neighborhood of Millersville. With 5,699 residents, it scores 6.2/10 for landlords. It lands near the 80th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

51% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,601 a month while the average household earns $82,338 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 9% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 4% Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units2,175
Renter share8.6%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate11.0%
Median income$82,338

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Georgetown Hills
Very High
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In Millersville
Low
Within county
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#24 of 116 tracts In Lancaster County
High
Within state
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#1,158 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Millersville and the region

Centroid at 40.0228, -76.3574 · click any tract to drill in

Why Georgetown Hills scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Millersville
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
11.0% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,601 rent vs county FMR
6.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Millersville
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Millersville
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Millersville
7.5

How Georgetown Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Georgetown Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.64.6This tracttract 013701Millersville: 3.93.9Millersvilleparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 250Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 11.34%Avg annual filing rate
  • 19.5%Peak (2004)
  • 57Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420710137012000: 13 filings (4.16/100 renter HHs)2001: 17 filings (5.44/100 renter HHs)2002: 37 filings (11.83/100 renter HHs)2003: 29 filings (9.27/100 renter HHs)2004: 61 filings (19.51/100 renter HHs)2005: 36 filings (11.30/100 renter HHs)2006: 57 filings (17.89/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 338% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Georgetown Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Georgetown Hills

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Millersville, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lancaster County average of 5.3 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 250 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 11.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 19.5% of renter households in 2004.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42071013701

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42071013701?

Census tract 42071013701 in the Georgetown Hills neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42071013701?

Median gross rent is $1,601/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42071013701?

11.0% of residents in tract 42071013701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,699.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42071013701?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 82th, minority 50th, housing 70th.
Q5

Is tract 42071013701 considered part of Georgetown Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42071013701 fall within Georgetown Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42071013701?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 250 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42071013701 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.34% of renter households, peaking at 19.5% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42071013701 compare to Millersville overall?

Tract 42071013701 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Millersville at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Millersville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Millersville

Top eight tracts in Millersville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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