Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally
East Side Eviction Risk: Moderate , Allentown
Tract 42077000102 · Lehigh County, PA · pop 4,020 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 42077000102 covers East Side in Allentown in Pennsylvania. Home to 4,020 residents, it scores 6.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 77% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 44% of renter households, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,519 monthly, set against $53,833 in average yearly household income, roughly 34% of income at the averages. About 25% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,524
Renter share24.8%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate13.8%
Median income$53,833
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
22
th percentile
Low
Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Allentown and the region
Centroid at 40.6228, -75.4453 · click any tract to drill in
Why East Side scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Allentown
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
13.8% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,519 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Allentown
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Allentown
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Allentown
5.5
How East Side compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 74%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 11%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 6%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 235Total filings over 7 yrs
- 4.73%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.6%Peak (2005)
- 41Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 28% over the past 7 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in East Side
What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Allentown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lehigh County average of 5.8 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 235 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 4.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.6% of renter households in 2005.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 42077000102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42077000102?
Census tract 42077000102 in the East Side neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42077000102?
Median gross rent is $1,519/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42077000102?
13.8% of residents in tract 42077000102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,020.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42077000102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 97th, minority 71th, housing 11th.
Q5
Is tract 42077000102 considered part of East Side?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42077000102 fall within East Side (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42077000102?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 235 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42077000102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.73% of renter households, peaking at 6.6% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42077000102 compare to Allentown overall?
Tract 42077000102 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Allentown at 5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Allentown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42077000102 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Allentown
Top eight tracts in Allentown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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7.2
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7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
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7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
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7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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7
/ 10 · Elevated
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6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
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6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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