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Neighborhood · Ranked #17,132 of 84,120 nationally

East Side Eviction Risk: Elevated , Allentown

Tract 42077000102 · Lehigh County, PA · pop 4,020 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

With a score of 6.2/10, tract 42077000102 in the East Side area of Allentown, PA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.2/10.

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 14% Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,524
Renter share24.8%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate13.8%
Median income$53,833

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In East Side
Moderate
Within parent city
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#22 of 28 tracts In Allentown
Low
Within county
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#26 of 81 tracts In Lehigh County
Elevated
Within state
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#570 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Allentown and the region

Centroid at 40.6228, -75.4453 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Side scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Allentown
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
13.8% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,519 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Allentown
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Allentown
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Allentown
5.5

How East Side compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Side risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.2This tracttract 0001025.2Allentownparent city4.7Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 235Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 4.73%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.6%Peak (2005)
  • 41Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42077000102
Filings climbed 28% over the past 7 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Side

26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Set annual rent against average income of $53,833 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

It sits 1.5 points above the Lehigh County average of 4.7. At $1,519 a month, rents run 15% over what the rest of Allentown commands.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 235 filings here across 7 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2005 at 6.6% of renter households.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 4.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 25% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 7.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. 44% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 42077000102

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42077000102?

Census tract 42077000102 in the East Side neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42077000102?

Median gross rent is $1,519/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42077000102?

13.8% of residents in tract 42077000102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,020.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42077000102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 97th, minority 71th, housing 11th.
Q5

Is tract 42077000102 considered part of East Side?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42077000102 fall within East Side (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42077000102?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 235 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42077000102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.73% of renter households, peaking at 6.6% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42077000102 compare to Allentown overall?

Tract 42077000102 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Allentown at 5.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Allentown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42077000102 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Allentown

Top eight tracts in Allentown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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