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Census Tract · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally

Willow Grove Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 42091200308 · Montgomery County, PA · pop 4,642

With a score of 4.1/10, tract 42091200308 in Willow Grove, PA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 30% Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,933
Renter share51.4%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate3.0%
Median income$96,304

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 7 tracts In Willow Grove
Elevated
Within county
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#99 of 219 tracts In Montgomery County
Elevated
Within state
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#1,763 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Moderate
National
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#47,371 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Willow Grove and the region

Centroid at 40.1499, -75.1235 · click any tract to drill in

Why Willow Grove scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Willow Grove
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
3.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,638 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Willow Grove
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Willow Grove
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Willow Grove
4.1

How Willow Grove compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Willow Grove risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.1This tracttract 2003084.1Willow Groveparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 227Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 4.46%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.4%Peak (2006)
  • 53Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42091200308
Filings climbed 121% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Willow Grove

Running hot, local political climate reads 8.4/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10. 12% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Court records carry 227 eviction filings across 7 observed years. Filings peaked in 2006 at 7.4% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Philadelphia. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 4.5% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #47,371 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 2.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 41% of renters. It tracks the Montgomery County average of 4.3 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 42091200308

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42091200308?

Census tract 42091200308 in Willow Grove scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42091200308?

Median gross rent is $1,638/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42091200308?

3.0% of residents in tract 42091200308 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,642.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42091200308?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 21th, minority 45th, housing 22th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42091200308?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 227 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42091200308 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.46% of renter households, peaking at 7.4% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 42091200308 compare to Willow Grove overall?

Tract 42091200308 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Willow Grove at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Willow Grove eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 42091200308 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Willow Grove

Top eight tracts in Willow Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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