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Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally

Ryan Homes: Townes at Montgomery View Eviction Risk: Lower , Gilbertsville

Tract 42091208304 · Montgomery County, PA · pop 5,899 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

With a score of 3.7/10, tract 42091208304 in the Ryan Homes: Townes at Montgomery View area of Montgomery County, PA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.9/10.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 65% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 1% Owners 99%
Tract context
Occupied units1,907
Renter share1.3%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate7.6%
Median income$147,904

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Ryan Homes: Townes at Montgomery View
Very High
Within county
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#131 of 219 tracts In Montgomery County
Moderate
Within state
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#2,105 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Low
National
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#54,273 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Gilbertsville and the region

Centroid at 40.2997, -75.5914 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ryan Homes: Townes at Montgomery View scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gilbertsville
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
7.6% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gilbertsville
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gilbertsville
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gilbertsville
5.0

How Ryan Homes: Townes at Montgomery View compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ryan Homes: Townes at Montgomery View risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.7This tracttract 2083043.4Gilbertsvilleparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 4

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ryan Homes: Townes at Montgomery View. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ryan Homes: Townes at Montgomery View

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10. On the national scale it lands near the 35th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 1% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 1.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Model confidence here is 65%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point. It tracks the Montgomery County average of 4.3 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 42091208304

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42091208304?

Census tract 42091208304 in the Ryan Homes: Townes at Montgomery View neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 42091208304?

7.6% of residents in tract 42091208304 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,899.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 42091208304?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 11th, minority 26th, housing 5th.
Q4

Is tract 42091208304 considered part of Ryan Homes: Townes at Montgomery View?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42091208304 fall within Ryan Homes: Townes at Montgomery View (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q5

How does tract 42091208304 compare to Gilbertsville overall?

Tract 42091208304 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Gilbertsville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gilbertsville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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