Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Ryan Homes: Townes at Montgomery View Eviction Risk: Lower , Gilbertsville
Tract 42091208204 · Montgomery County, PA · pop 3,113 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
42091208204 is a census tract in the Ryan Homes: Townes at Montgomery View area of Gilbertsville, PA. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,113 residents. The severe-burden share is 55%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,137
Renter share9.4%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate2.1%
Median income$147,202
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
5
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
19
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Gilbertsville and the region
Centroid at 40.3063, -75.6239 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ryan Homes: Townes at Montgomery View scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Gilbertsville
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
2.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,137 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gilbertsville
2.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gilbertsville
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gilbertsville
2.4
How Ryan Homes: Townes at Montgomery View compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 3
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 5%Socioeconomic
- 25%Household composition
- 13%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 29Total filings over 7 yrs
- 4.02%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.9%Peak (2004)
- 6Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 500% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ryan Homes: Townes at Montgomery View. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ryan Homes: Townes at Montgomery View
69% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Montgomery County average of 42.6%. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.3/10. It sits 1.3 points below the Montgomery County average of 4.3.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10. Court records carry 29 eviction filings across 7 observed years. The worst year on record was 2004, when 7.9% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 4.0% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
At 9% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 1.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Against average income of $147,202, annual rent is just 9%. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.6 points cooler.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42091208204
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42091208204?
Census tract 42091208204 in the Ryan Homes: Townes at Montgomery View neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42091208204?
Median gross rent is $1,137/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42091208204?
2.1% of residents in tract 42091208204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,113.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42091208204?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 25th, minority 13th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 42091208204 considered part of Ryan Homes: Townes at Montgomery View?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42091208204 fall within Ryan Homes: Townes at Montgomery View (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42091208204?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 29 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42091208204 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.02% of renter households, peaking at 7.9% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42091208204 compare to Gilbertsville overall?
Tract 42091208204 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Gilbertsville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gilbertsville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Gilbertsville
Top eight tracts in Gilbertsville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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