Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Naval Square Eviction Risk: Moderate , Philadelphia
Tract 42101001302 · Philadelphia County, PA · pop 4,762 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
With a score of 5.2/10, tract 42101001302 in the Naval Square area of Philadelphia, PA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,762. Average gross rent is $2,110, 51% above the Philadelphia average.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,980
Renter share46.4%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate3.6%
Median income$101,884
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
10
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
69
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Philadelphia and the region
Centroid at 39.9436, -75.1851 · click any tract to drill in
Why Naval Square scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Philadelphia
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
3.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,110 rent vs county FMR
6.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Philadelphia
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
How Naval Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 9
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 13%Socioeconomic
- 5%Household composition
- 44%Racial/ethnic minority
- 25%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 65%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 27Total filings 2020-21
- 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.56×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Palm Beach as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Naval Square
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.2/10.
It sits 1.4 points below the Philadelphia County average of 6.6. Cost burden runs 42% here against 49.1% across Philadelphia County.
The voucher gap is 17.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The severe-burden share is 10%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 1.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $101,884.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 42101001302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42101001302?
Census tract 42101001302 in the Naval Square neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42101001302?
Median gross rent is $2,110/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42101001302?
3.6% of residents in tract 42101001302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,762.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42101001302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 5th, minority 44th, housing 25th.
Q5
Is tract 42101001302 considered part of Naval Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42101001302 fall within Naval Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 42101001302 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.56× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 42101001302 compare to Philadelphia overall?
Tract 42101001302 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Philadelphia at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42101001302 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 65% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Philadelphia
Top eight tracts in Philadelphia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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