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Neighborhood · Ranked #12,919 of 84,120 nationally

Pencoyd Eviction Risk: Elevated , Philadelphia

Tract 42101012204 · Philadelphia County, PA · pop 3,915 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

42101012204 is a census tract in the Pencoyd area of Philadelphia, PA. It scores 7/10 for landlords. Set annual rent against average income of $46,037 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Risk score
7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 24% Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units1,979
Renter share49.1%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate18.6%
Median income$46,037

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Pencoyd
Very High
Within parent city
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#171 of 408 tracts In Philadelphia
Elevated
Within county
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#174 of 408 tracts In Philadelphia County
Elevated
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#377 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Philadelphia and the region

Centroid at 40.0009, -75.2121 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pencoyd scores 7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Philadelphia
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
18.6% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,341 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Philadelphia
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5

How Pencoyd compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Pencoyd risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.0This tracttract 0122046.6Philadelphiaparent city6.6Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 166Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 4.83%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.4%Peak (2016)
  • 50Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42101012204
Filings climbed 72% over the past 4 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 67Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.29×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Palm Beach as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Pencoyd. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pencoyd

The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.2/10.

Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8/10.

The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 166 filings here across 4 tracked years.

The worst year on record was 2016, when 5.4% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 4.8% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #12,919 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.5/10.

Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 42101012204

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42101012204?

Census tract 42101012204 in the Pencoyd neighborhood scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42101012204?

Median gross rent is $1,341/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42101012204?

18.6% of residents in tract 42101012204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,915.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42101012204?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 72th, minority 88th, housing 87th.
Q5

Is tract 42101012204 considered part of Pencoyd?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42101012204 fall within Pencoyd (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42101012204?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 166 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42101012204 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.83% of renter households, peaking at 5.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 42101012204 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.29× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 42101012204 compare to Philadelphia overall?

Tract 42101012204 scores 7/10, higher than the parent city of Philadelphia at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 42101012204 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Philadelphia

Top eight tracts in Philadelphia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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