Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Pauls Run Eviction Risk: Moderate , Philadelphia
Tract 42101035602 · Philadelphia County, PA · pop 3,579 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 42101035602 covers part of the Pauls Run area of Philadelphia, PA, and scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,579. Cost burden runs 66% here against 49.1% across Philadelphia County.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,251
Renter share11.9%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate3.0%
Median income$106,480
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
5
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
69
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Philadelphia and the region
Centroid at 40.1046, -75.0420 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pauls Run scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Philadelphia
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
3.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,575 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Philadelphia
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
How Pauls Run compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 59
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 20%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 249Total filings over 4 yrs
- 25.45%Avg annual filing rate
- 30.1%Peak (2011)
- 62Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 127Total filings 2020-21
- 1.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.39×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Palm Beach as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Pauls Run. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pauls Run
28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10.
Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. Against the Philadelphia County average of 6.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.4 points.
Court records carry 249 eviction filings across 4 observed years. At $1,575 a month, rents run 13% over what the rest of Philadelphia commands.
The worst year on record was 2011, when 30.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 25.5% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 12% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 6.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 42101035602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42101035602?
Census tract 42101035602 in the Pauls Run neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42101035602?
Median gross rent is $1,575/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42101035602?
3.0% of residents in tract 42101035602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,579.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42101035602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 73th, minority 64th, housing 88th.
Q5
Is tract 42101035602 considered part of Pauls Run?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42101035602 fall within Pauls Run (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42101035602?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 249 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42101035602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 25.45% of renter households, peaking at 30.1% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 42101035602 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.39× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 42101035602 compare to Philadelphia overall?
Tract 42101035602 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Philadelphia at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Philadelphia
Top eight tracts in Philadelphia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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