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Neighborhood · Philadelphia, PA

Pauls Run Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 16,457 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 3.6–4.8

Pauls Run is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Philadelphia with 3 census tracts and a population of 16,457 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 72% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 41% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,303/month sits 7% lower than the Philadelphia citywide average ($1,397).

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Pauls Run vs Philadelphia How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
71.6% +128%
Philadelphia: 31.4%
Average gross rent
$1,303 -7%
Philadelphia: $1,397
Average HH income
$75,085 +24%
Philadelphia: $60,698
Poverty rate
7.7% -65%
Philadelphia: 22.0%
Renter share
25.1% -48%
Philadelphia: 48.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Pauls Run and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3.6–4.8

Why Pauls Run scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
72% of income on rent · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
25% renter households · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
7.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.7 across tracts
2.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.6–3.7 across tracts
2.2
Risk score comparison

Pauls Run vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Pauls Run score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Pauls Run: 4.54.5Pauls RunNeighborhoodParent city: 5.55.5Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Pauls Run?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.2 points from 3.6 to 4.8. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Pauls Run

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
42101035500 4.8 7,591 67% $1,193
42101035601 4.7 5,287 82% $1,278
42101035602 3.6 3,579 66% $1,575
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 69

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 41%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 91%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 56%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 71%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Pauls Run

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 495Total filings (sum)
  • 8.36%Avg annual filing rate
  • 30.1%Peak year (2012)
  • 8.01%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 261Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.1Avg monthly observed
  • 2.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.49×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach).

Frequently asked

About Pauls Run

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Pauls Run?

Pauls Run scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Pauls Run compare to Philadelphia overall?

Pauls Run scores 1.0 points lower than Philadelphia overall (5.5/10). Renters spend 72% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,303 vs $1,397.
Q3

What is the average rent in Pauls Run?

Average gross rent in Pauls Run is $1,303/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Pauls Run residents are renters?

25% of Pauls Run households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Philadelphia). The neighborhood has 16,457 residents.
Q5

Is Pauls Run a high social-vulnerability area?

Pauls Run sits in the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Pauls Run have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Pauls Run is census tract 42101035500 (score 4.8/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.6 to 4.8, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Pauls Run for landlords?

Pauls Run carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Philadelphia as a whole (5.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Pauls Run?

Pauls Run has 16,339 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (64.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (23%), Hispanic / Latino (6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Pauls Run

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Philadelphia

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Pauls Run.

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