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Neighborhood · Philadelphia, PA

Pauls Run Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 16,457 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 5.2–5.5

Pauls Run takes in 3 census tracts of Philadelphia, PA, population 16,457. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.4/10, in the Moderate tier. Severe burden reaches 41%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Cost burden runs 72% against 31.4% citywide, putting Pauls Run 40.2% over its own city. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 2/10.

Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.2/10. Filings are well documented here: 495 across 3 observed tracts. Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10.

Filing activity peaked in 2012 at 30.1% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 10.6% in 2016, is well off that peak.

At $1,303 a month, rents sit 7% under what the rest of Philadelphia commands. That places it #109 of 152 neighborhoods in Philadelphia.

At 25% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. The closest comparables inside the same city are Blue Grass and Parkwood Manor.

The 3 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.3 points apart at the extremes. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $75,085.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Pauls Run vs Philadelphia How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
71.6% +128%
Philadelphia: 31.4%
Average gross rent
$1,303 -7%
Philadelphia: $1,397
Average HH income
$75,085 +24%
Philadelphia: $60,698
Poverty rate
7.7% -65%
Philadelphia: 22.0%
Renter share
25.1% -48%
Philadelphia: 48.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Pauls Run and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 5.2–5.5

Why Pauls Run scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
72% of income on rent · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
25% renter households · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
7.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.7 across tracts
2.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.6–3.7 across tracts
2.2
Risk score comparison

Pauls Run vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Pauls Run score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.4Pauls RunNeighborhood6.6Parent cityhost city4.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Pauls Run?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.3 points from 5.2 to 5.5. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Pauls Run

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
42101035500 5.5 7,591 67% $1,193
42101035601 5.3 5,287 82% $1,278
42101035602 5.2 3,579 66% $1,575
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 69

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 41%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 91%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 56%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 71%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Pauls Run

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 495Total filings (sum)
  • 8.36%Avg annual filing rate
  • 30.1%Peak year (2012)
  • 8.01%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 261Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.1Avg monthly observed
  • 2.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.49×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach).

Frequently asked

About Pauls Run

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Pauls Run?

Pauls Run scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Pauls Run compare to Philadelphia overall?

Pauls Run scores 1.2 points lower than Philadelphia overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 72% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,303 vs $1,397.
Q3

What is the average rent in Pauls Run?

Average gross rent in Pauls Run is $1,303/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Pauls Run residents are renters?

25% of Pauls Run households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Philadelphia). The neighborhood has 16,457 residents.
Q5

Is Pauls Run a high social-vulnerability area?

Pauls Run sits in the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Pauls Run have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Pauls Run is census tract 42101035500 (score 5.5/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.2 to 5.5, a spread of 0.3 points.
Q7

How safe is Pauls Run for landlords?

Pauls Run carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Philadelphia as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Pauls Run?

Pauls Run has 16,339 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (64.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (23%), Hispanic / Latino (6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Pauls Run

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Philadelphia

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Pauls Run.

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