Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Merino Eviction Risk: Lower , Providence
Tract 44007012401 · Providence County, RI · pop 7,438 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
44007012401 is a census tract in the Merino area of Providence County, RI. It scores 3.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 7,438 residents. Against Providence County at 43.2%, 65% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units2,712
Renter share23.7%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate6.2%
Median income$93,654
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
24
th percentile
Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
National
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Providence and the region
Centroid at 41.8260, -71.4851 · click any tract to drill in
Why Merino scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Providence
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Rhode Island legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
6.2% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,050 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Providence
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Providence
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Providence
5.0
How Merino compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 26%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 35%Racial/ethnic minority
- 25%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 14%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 68Total filings over 2 yrs
- 4.46%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.0%Peak (2016)
- 36Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 95Total filings 2020-21
- 1.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.48×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Merino. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.5%Housing insecurity
- 7.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.9%Food insecurity
- 11.4%SNAP enrollment
- 7.1%Transit barriers
- 7.7%No health insurance
- 16.7%Frequent mental distress
- 28.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Merino
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.5/10.
Against the Providence County average of 5.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.8 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.5/10.
The filing record is not thin: 68 evictions over 2 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2016, when 5.0% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Providence. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 4.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 40% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 24% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 44007012401
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007012401?
Census tract 44007012401 in the Merino neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 44007012401?
Median gross rent is $1,050/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 44007012401?
6.2% of residents in tract 44007012401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,438.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 44007012401?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 65th, minority 35th, housing 25th.
Q5
Is tract 44007012401 considered part of Merino?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007012401 fall within Merino (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007012401?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 68 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007012401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.46% of renter households, peaking at 5.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 44007012401 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.48× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 44007012401 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 44007012401 compare to Providence overall?
Tract 44007012401 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of Providence at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Providence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 44007012401 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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