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Neighborhood · Providence, RI

Merino Eviction Risk: Elevated

4 census tracts · pop 23,887 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.5/10 · range 3.9–8

Merino spans 4 census tracts of Providence, RI and houses 23,887 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 6.5/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs roughly one in two against 29.2% citywide, putting Merino 19.1% over its own city.

Scores across the 4 constituent tracts range from 3.9 to 8. A 4.1-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 2.1/10.

Severe burden reaches 18%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 25.0% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

At $1,133 a month, rents sit 20% under what the rest of Providence commands. Filings are well documented here: 462 across 3 observed tracts.

The poverty rate is 18%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Food insecurity affects 28.9% of adults, 11.1 points above the national rate. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 11.6% of renter households.

Among the 15 mapped neighborhoods of Providence, it ranks #12 by risk, the lower third. Judgments average 3.9% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

Against average income of $72,008, annual rent is only 19%, a wide affordability cushion. 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 4.1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.5
Elevated
4 tracts · population-weighted
Merino vs Providence How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
48.3% +65%
Providence: 29.2%
Average gross rent
$1,133 -20%
Providence: $1,408
Average HH income
$72,008 +8%
Providence: $66,772
Poverty rate
17.5% -13%
Providence: 20.1%
Renter share
40.4% -31%
Providence: 58.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Merino and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3.9–8

Why Merino scores 6.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–7.5 across tracts
6.9
Rent control risk
48% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–6.5 across tracts
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
40% renter households · Range 4.0–7.0 across tracts
6.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–6.5 across tracts
6.0
Economic stress
17.5% below poverty line · Range 1.5–7.3 across tracts
4.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–3.5 across tracts
2.1
Risk score comparison

Merino vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Merino score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Merino: 6.56.5MerinoNeighborhoodParent city: 6.66.6Parent cityhost cityState: 5.65.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Merino?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 4.1 points from 3.9 to 8. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Merino

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
44007001800 8 6,982 28% $893
44007001700 8 4,436 58% $1,376
44007001602 6.8 5,031 44% $1,375
44007012401 3.9 7,438 65% $1,050
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 65

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 68%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 74%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 73%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 43%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Merino

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 462Total filings (sum)
  • 7.72%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.6%Peak year (2016)
  • 7.97%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,079Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.7Avg monthly observed
  • 5.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.57×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Merino

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Merino

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Merino?

Merino scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Merino compare to Providence overall?

Merino scores 0.1 points lower than Providence overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,133 vs $1,408.
Q3

What is the average rent in Merino?

Average gross rent in Merino is $1,133/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Merino residents are renters?

40% of Merino households are renter-occupied (vs 59% in Providence). The neighborhood has 23,887 residents.
Q5

Is Merino a high social-vulnerability area?

Merino sits in the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Merino have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Merino is census tract 44007001800 (score 8/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.9 to 8, a spread of 4.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Merino for landlords?

Merino carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.5/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Providence as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Merino?

Merino has 22,661 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (50.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (33.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (10.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Merino

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Providence

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Merino.

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