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Neighborhood · Providence, RI

Merino Eviction Risk: Elevated

4 census tracts · pop 23,887 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.5/10 · range 3.9–8

Merino spans 4 census tracts of Providence, RI and houses 23,887 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 6.5/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs roughly one in two against 29.2% citywide, putting Merino 19.1% over its own city.

Scores across the 4 constituent tracts range from 3.9 to 8. A 4.1-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 2.1/10.

Severe burden reaches 18%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 25.0% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

At $1,133 a month, rents sit 20% under what the rest of Providence commands. Filings are well documented here: 462 across 3 observed tracts.

The poverty rate is 18%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Food insecurity affects 28.9% of adults, 11.1 points above the national rate. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 11.6% of renter households.

Among the 15 mapped neighborhoods of Providence, it ranks #12 by risk, the lower third. Judgments average 3.9% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

Against average income of $72,008, annual rent is only 19%, a wide affordability cushion. 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 4.1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.5
Elevated
4 tracts · population-weighted
Merino vs Providence How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
48.3% +65%
Providence: 29.2%
Average gross rent
$1,133 -20%
Providence: $1,408
Average HH income
$72,008 +8%
Providence: $66,772
Poverty rate
17.5% -13%
Providence: 20.1%
Renter share
40.4% -31%
Providence: 58.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Merino and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3.9–8

Why Merino scores 6.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–7.5 across tracts
6.9
Rent control risk
48% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–6.5 across tracts
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
40% renter households · Range 4.0–7.0 across tracts
6.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–6.5 across tracts
6.0
Economic stress
17.5% below poverty line · Range 1.5–7.3 across tracts
4.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–3.5 across tracts
2.1
Risk score comparison

Merino vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Merino score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.5MerinoNeighborhood6.6Parent cityhost city5.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Merino?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 4.1 points from 3.9 to 8. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Merino

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
44007001800 8 6,982 28% $893
44007001700 8 4,436 58% $1,376
44007001602 6.8 5,031 44% $1,375
44007012401 3.9 7,438 65% $1,050
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 65

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 68%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 74%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 73%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 43%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Merino

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 462Total filings (sum)
  • 7.72%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.6%Peak year (2016)
  • 7.97%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,079Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.7Avg monthly observed
  • 5.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.57×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Merino

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Merino

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Merino?

Merino scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Merino compare to Providence overall?

Merino scores 0.1 points lower than Providence overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,133 vs $1,408.
Q3

What is the average rent in Merino?

Average gross rent in Merino is $1,133/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Merino residents are renters?

40% of Merino households are renter-occupied (vs 59% in Providence). The neighborhood has 23,887 residents.
Q5

Is Merino a high social-vulnerability area?

Merino sits in the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Merino have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Merino is census tract 44007001800 (score 8/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.9 to 8, a spread of 4.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Merino for landlords?

Merino carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.5/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Providence as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Merino?

Merino has 22,661 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (50.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (33.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (10.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Merino

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Providence

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Merino.

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