Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Merino Eviction Risk: High , Providence
Tract 44007001800 · Providence County, RI · pop 6,982 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
44007001800 is a census tract in the Merino area of Providence, RI. It scores 8/10 for landlords. It is home to 6,982 residents. 28% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Providence County average of 43.2%.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units2,544
Renter share48.9%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate29.3%
Median income$57,808
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Providence and the region
Centroid at 41.8157, -71.4612 · click any tract to drill in
Why Merino scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Providence
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Rhode Island legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
29.3% poverty · this tract
7.3
Supply constraint
$893 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Providence
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Providence
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Providence
6.5
How Merino compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 89%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 76%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 76%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 300Total filings over 2 yrs
- 11.80%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.6%Peak (2016)
- 153Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 662Total filings 2020-21
- 8.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 12.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.70×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Merino. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 31.4%Housing insecurity
- 18.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 38.5%Food insecurity
- 34.1%SNAP enrollment
- 17.5%Transit barriers
- 21.8%No health insurance
- 20.4%Frequent mental distress
- 36.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Merino
The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. Average gross rent is $893, 37% below the Providence average.
It sits 2.3 points above the Providence County average of 5.7. Housing insecurity runs 31.4% against 14.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 21.8% against 11.3% nationally.
Running hot, local political climate reads 7.5/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 300 filings here across 2 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2016, when 11.6% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Providence. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 44007001800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007001800?
Census tract 44007001800 in the Merino neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 44007001800?
Median gross rent is $893/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 44007001800?
29.3% of residents in tract 44007001800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,982.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 44007001800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 89th, minority 91th, housing 76th.
Q5
Is tract 44007001800 considered part of Merino?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007001800 fall within Merino (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007001800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 300 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007001800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.80% of renter households, peaking at 11.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 44007001800 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.70× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 44007001800 struggle to pay rent?
About 31.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 44007001800 compare to Providence overall?
Tract 44007001800 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Providence at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Providence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 44007001800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Providence
Top eight tracts in Providence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · RI
Elmwood
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Merino
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Dyerville
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Wesleyan Avenue Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Manton
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Stimson Avenue Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Wesleyan Avenue Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Providence Jewelry Manufacturing Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
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