Within parent city
38
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Goose Creek Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 45015020809 · Berkeley County, SC · pop 3,757 · 46% of tract blocks fall in Goose Creek
Census tract 45015020809 covers part of Goose Creek, SC, and scores 3.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,225
Renter share14.0%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate4.5%
Median income$77,411
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
38
th percentile
Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Moderate
National
29
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Goose Creek and the region
Centroid at 32.9860, -80.0240 · click any tract to drill in
Why Goose Creek scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Goose Creek
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
4.5% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,197 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goose Creek
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goose Creek
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goose Creek
4.8
How Goose Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 75%Racial/ethnic minority
- 48%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 587Total filings over 5 yrs
- 34.48%Avg annual filing rate
- 38.5%Peak (2013)
- 124Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.8%Housing insecurity
- 8.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.9%Food insecurity
- 8.5%SNAP enrollment
- 8.3%Transit barriers
- 14.0%No health insurance
- 16.4%Frequent mental distress
- 32.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Goose Creek
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.1/10. 27% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Berkeley County average of 37.8%. Average gross rent is $1,197, 29% below the Goose Creek average.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.6/10. Severe burden reaches 13%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Court records carry 587 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2013, when 38.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 34.5% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 29th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 14% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Social vulnerability reads 8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 45015020809
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45015020809?
Census tract 45015020809 in Goose Creek scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 45015020809?
Median gross rent is $1,197/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 45015020809?
4.5% of residents in tract 45015020809 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,757.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 45015020809?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 95th, minority 75th, housing 48th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 45015020809?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 587 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 45015020809 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 34.48% of renter households, peaking at 38.5% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 45015020809 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 45015020809 compare to Goose Creek overall?
Tract 45015020809 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Goose Creek at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goose Creek eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Goose Creek
Top eight tracts in Goose Creek ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · SC
45015020718
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · SC
45015020712
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · SC
45015020808
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · SC
Deerfield Place
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · SC
45015020806
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · SC
Timbercrest Village at Tanner Plantation
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · SC
45015020725
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · SC
45015020804
3.6
/ 10 · Low
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