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Neighborhood · Ranked #58,384 of 84,120 nationally

Waterford Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Garden City

Tract 45051051302 · Horry County, SC · pop 3,025 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 45051051302 belongs to the Waterford Oaks neighborhood of Garden City, South Carolina. It is home to 3,025 residents and scores $1/10, a moderate reading for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #74,421 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 16% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,292 a month against an average household income of $72,454 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 9% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 8% Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,319
Renter share9.3%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate10.7%
Median income$72,454

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Waterford Oaks
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Garden City
Very Low
Within county
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#61 of 77 tracts In Horry County
Low
Within state
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#965 of 1,317 tracts In South Carolina
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Garden City and the region

Centroid at 33.5810, -79.0077 · click any tract to drill in

Why Waterford Oaks scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Garden City
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.3
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
10.7% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,292 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Garden City
1.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Garden City
1.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Garden City
2.1

How Waterford Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Waterford Oaks risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 051302Garden City: 2.32.3Garden Cityparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.04.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 24

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 112Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 7.81%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.2%Peak (2010)
  • 24Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2014
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 450510513022010: 25 filings (10.16/100 renter HHs)2011: 15 filings (4.98/100 renter HHs)2012: 23 filings (7.64/100 renter HHs)2013: 25 filings (8.31/100 renter HHs)2014: 24 filings (7.97/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Waterford Oaks

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 4.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Garden City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Horry County average of 5.3 and below the South Carolina statewide average of 5.5. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 24th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 112 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 7.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 10.2% of renter households in 2010.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 45051051302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45051051302?

Census tract 45051051302 in the Waterford Oaks neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 45051051302?

Median gross rent is $1,292/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 16% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 45051051302?

10.7% of residents in tract 45051051302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,025.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 45051051302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 8th, minority 19th, housing 58th.
Q5

Is tract 45051051302 considered part of Waterford Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45051051302 fall within Waterford Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 45051051302?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 112 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 45051051302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.81% of renter households, peaking at 10.2% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 45051051302 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 45051051302 compare to Garden City overall?

Tract 45051051302 scores 3/10, higher than the parent city of Garden City at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Garden City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Garden City

Top eight tracts in Garden City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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