Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Waterford Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Garden City
Tract 45051051302 · Horry County, SC · pop 3,025 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 45051051302 covers part of the Waterford Oaks area of Garden City, SC, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,025 residents. Cost burden runs 16% here against 44.6% across Horry County.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,319
Renter share9.3%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate10.7%
Median income$72,454
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
3
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
29
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Garden City and the region
Centroid at 33.5810, -79.0077 · click any tract to drill in
Why Waterford Oaks scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Garden City
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.3
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
10.7% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,292 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Garden City
1.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Garden City
1.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Garden City
2.1
How Waterford Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 24
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 27%Socioeconomic
- 8%Household composition
- 19%Racial/ethnic minority
- 58%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 112Total filings over 5 yrs
- 7.81%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.2%Peak (2010)
- 24Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.8%Housing insecurity
- 4.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.0%Food insecurity
- 4.7%SNAP enrollment
- 4.9%Transit barriers
- 7.7%No health insurance
- 14.5%Frequent mental distress
- 28.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Waterford Oaks
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.5/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.2/10. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.8/10.
Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Food insecurity runs 9.0% against 17.8% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 112 evictions over 5 years of observation. It sits 0.8 points below the Horry County average of 3.8.
Housing insecurity runs 6.8% against 14.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,292, 12% below the Garden City average.
The worst year on record was 2010, when 10.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 7.8% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 9% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.2/10.
Statewide the SC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 45051051302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45051051302?
Census tract 45051051302 in the Waterford Oaks neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 45051051302?
Median gross rent is $1,292/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 16% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 45051051302?
10.7% of residents in tract 45051051302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,025.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 45051051302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 8th, minority 19th, housing 58th.
Q5
Is tract 45051051302 considered part of Waterford Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45051051302 fall within Waterford Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 45051051302?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 112 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 45051051302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.81% of renter households, peaking at 10.2% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 45051051302 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 45051051302 compare to Garden City overall?
Tract 45051051302 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Garden City at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Garden City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Garden City
Top eight tracts in Garden City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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