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Neighborhood · Ranked #53,267 of 84,120 nationally

Waterford Plantation Eviction Risk: Lower , Carolina Forest

Tract 45051060209 · Horry County, SC · pop 7,857 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 45051060209 covers the Waterford Plantation neighborhood of Carolina Forest, home to 7,857 residents. For landlords it grades $1/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 38th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

18% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,653 a month while the average household earns $71,750 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 24% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 20% Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units3,077
Renter share24.0%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate9.1%
Median income$71,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Waterford Plantation
Moderate
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In Carolina Forest
Low
Within county
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#46 of 77 tracts In Horry County
Moderate
Within state
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#875 of 1,317 tracts In South Carolina
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Carolina Forest and the region

Centroid at 33.7719, -78.9475 · click any tract to drill in

Why Waterford Plantation scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Carolina Forest
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.3
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
9.1% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,653 rent vs county FMR
6.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carolina Forest
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carolina Forest
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carolina Forest
6.2

How Waterford Plantation compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Waterford Plantation risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.33.3This tracttract 060209Carolina Forest: 2.72.7Carolina Forestparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.04.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,187Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 35.46%Avg annual filing rate
  • 45.3%Peak (2014)
  • 287Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2014
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 450510602092010: 226 filings (25.74/100 renter HHs)2011: 245 filings (38.64/100 renter HHs)2012: 230 filings (36.28/100 renter HHs)2013: 199 filings (31.39/100 renter HHs)2014: 287 filings (45.27/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 27% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Waterford Plantation

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 6.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Carolina Forest eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Horry County average of 5.3 and below the South Carolina statewide average of 5.5. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,187 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 35.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 45.3% of renter households in 2014.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 45051060209

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45051060209?

Census tract 45051060209 in the Waterford Plantation neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 45051060209?

Median gross rent is $1,653/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 18% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 45051060209?

9.1% of residents in tract 45051060209 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,857.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 45051060209?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 22th, minority 40th, housing 19th.
Q5

Is tract 45051060209 considered part of Waterford Plantation?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45051060209 fall within Waterford Plantation (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 45051060209?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,187 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 45051060209 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 35.46% of renter households, peaking at 45.3% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 45051060209 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 45051060209 compare to Carolina Forest overall?

Tract 45051060209 scores 3.3/10, higher than the parent city of Carolina Forest at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carolina Forest eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Carolina Forest

Top eight tracts in Carolina Forest ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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