Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #51,553 of 84,120 nationally
Heatherstone Eviction Risk: Lower , Carolina Forest
Tract 45051060211 · Horry County, SC · pop 2,469 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 45051060211 runs through the Heatherstone neighborhood of Carolina Forest. With 2,469 residents, it scores 5.8/10 for landlords. That is riskier than about 67% of US census tracts.
About 47% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,476 monthly, set against $66,719 in average yearly household income, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,460
Renter share46.1%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate8.9%
Median income$66,719
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
36
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Carolina Forest and the region
Centroid at 33.7400, -78.9016 · click any tract to drill in
Why Heatherstone scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Carolina Forest
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.3
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
8.9% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,476 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carolina Forest
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carolina Forest
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carolina Forest
6.2
How Heatherstone compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 26%Household composition
- 44%Racial/ethnic minority
- 55%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.0%Housing insecurity
- 6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.0%Food insecurity
- 7.6%SNAP enrollment
- 7.3%Transit barriers
- 11.5%No health insurance
- 18.0%Frequent mental distress
- 29.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Heatherstone
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Carolina Forest eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Horry County average of 5.3 and in line with the South Carolina statewide average of 5.5. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 45051060211
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45051060211?
Census tract 45051060211 in the Heatherstone neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 45051060211?
Median gross rent is $1,476/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 45051060211?
8.9% of residents in tract 45051060211 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,469.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 45051060211?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 26th, minority 44th, housing 55th.
Q5
Is tract 45051060211 considered part of Heatherstone?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45051060211 fall within Heatherstone (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 45051060211 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 45051060211 compare to Carolina Forest overall?
Tract 45051060211 scores 3.4/10, higher than the parent city of Carolina Forest at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carolina Forest eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Carolina Forest
Top eight tracts in Carolina Forest ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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