Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #81,634 of 84,120 nationally
Falling Waters Eviction Risk: Lower , Lexington
Tract 45063021039 · Lexington County, SC · pop 3,745 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 45063021039 (the Falling Waters neighborhood of Lexington, South Carolina) comes in at 4.3/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 17% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 0% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $157,500 a year. About 3% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.2
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units1,366
Renter share3.0%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate0.9%
Median income$157,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
14
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
1
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
1
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lexington and the region
Centroid at 34.0435, -81.2049 · click any tract to drill in
Why Falling Waters scores 1.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lexington
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.5
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
0.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lexington
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lexington
7.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lexington
4.8
How Falling Waters compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 11
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 12%Socioeconomic
- 42%Household composition
- 18%Racial/ethnic minority
- 12%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.6%Housing insecurity
- 4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.4%Food insecurity
- 3.6%SNAP enrollment
- 4.4%Transit barriers
- 5.9%No health insurance
- 13.6%Frequent mental distress
- 21.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Falling Waters
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lexington eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Lexington County average of 5.3 and below the South Carolina statewide average of 5.5. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 6.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 45063021039
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45063021039?
Census tract 45063021039 in the Falling Waters neighborhood scores 1.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 45063021039?
0.9% of residents in tract 45063021039 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,745.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 45063021039?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 42th, minority 18th, housing 12th.
Q4
Is tract 45063021039 considered part of Falling Waters?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45063021039 fall within Falling Waters (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q5
What share of households in tract 45063021039 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 45063021039 compare to Lexington overall?
Tract 45063021039 scores 1.2/10, lower than the parent city of Lexington at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lexington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lexington
Top eight tracts in Lexington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · SC
45063021029
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · SC
Cherokee Trail
2.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · SC
45063021030
2.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · SC
45063021028
2.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · SC
Glen Eagle
2.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · SC
45063021031
2.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · SC
Rollingwood
2.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · SC
Kensington Place
1.9
/ 10 · Very Low
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